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Winterthur vs Aarau prediction — Challenge League

Challenge League · Switzerland
Winterthur €6.45m
Full time 2 : 1
Aarau €6.07m
1 2.00
X 3.70
2 3.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Winterthur 78%@2.00
Draw 10%@3.70
Aarau 12%@3.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.50
Under 2.5 26%@4.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.45
No 41%@2.55
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 74%@1.52
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

WinterthurModelAarau
1.78xG1.26
51%Ball possession49%
18Shots16
6Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
13Fouls made14
WinterthurRealAarau
2.85xG1.11
63%Ball possession37%
18Shots12
4Shots on goal1
5Corner kicks0
3Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
WinterthurReal · ModelAarau
2.851.78xG1.111.26
63%51%Ball possession37%49%
1818Shots1216
46Shots on goal15
56Corner kicks05
32Yellow cards32
03Offside calls12
1113Fouls made1214

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

WinterthurPer gameAarau
2.1Goals for / game1.8
0.9Goals against / game1.8
53%Ball possession51%
17.0Shots per game17.0
5.8Corners per game5.6
1.88Expected goals1.37

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

WinterthurRateAarau
50%Wins40%
90%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.590%
50%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Winterthur WWWWD
W 3 Oct Winterthur(Sui) Basel (Sui)(Sui) 7 3 4.15 1.70
W 30 Sept Seuzach(Sui) Winterthur(Sui) 1 4 – –
W 11 Sept Etoile C Winterthur 0 1 2.90 2.22
W 4 Sept Winterthur Xamax 4 0 2.07 3.16
D 1 Sept Stade Nyonnais Winterthur 2 2 4.40 1.67
D 28 Aug Winterthur Lausanne Ouchy 1 1 2.72 2.45
W 21 Aug Rapperswil Winterthur 0 2 2.92 2.17
W 15 Aug Zurich City Winterthur 1 3 – –
W 7 Aug Winterthur Wil 5 0 1.98 3.35
L 31 Jul Kriens Winterthur 2 0 3.20 2.05
Aarau LDWDW
L 2 Oct Aarau(Sui) Young Boys(Sui) 1 2 6.60 1.32
D 12 Sept Aarau Kriens 2 2 1.65 4.50
W 4 Sept Aarau Rapperswil 3 2 1.65 4.30
D 31 Aug Wil Aarau 2 2 3.60 1.95
W 28 Aug Aarau Xamax 2 1 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Yverdon Aarau 2 1 2.18 3.05
D 16 Aug Biel Aarau 3 3 4.20 1.62
W 7 Aug Aarau Stade Nyonnais 2 1 1.34 8.50
D 1 Aug Aarau Lausanne Ouchy 1 1 2.57 2.50
L 24 Jul Etoile C Aarau 3 0 3.35 2.07

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 +14 22
2 Winterthur 10 +11 19
3 Yverdon 10 +5 17
4 Kriens 10 +5 15
5 Aarau 10 -2 13
6 Xamax 10 -5 13
7 Rapperswil 10 -1 11
8 Etoile C 10 -4 10
9 Wil 10 -6 10
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 -17 3
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