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Willem II vs Excelsior prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II €13.73m
Full time 0 : 3
Excelsior €17.85m
1 3.05
X 3.65
2 2.27

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.40 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Willem II 23%@3.05
Draw 19%@3.65
Excelsior 58%@2.27
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.65
Under 2.5 26%@4.70
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.53
No 31%@2.42
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 67%@1.63
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Willem IIModelExcelsior
1.39xG1.80
43%Ball possession57%
11Shots14
4Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made12
Willem IIRealExcelsior
0.74xG1.57
59%Ball possession41%
16Shots13
2Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
10Fouls made14
Willem IIReal · ModelExcelsior
0.741.39xG1.571.80
59%43%Ball possession41%57%
1611Shots1314
24Shots on goal68
74Corner kicks65
21Yellow cards11
11Offside calls01
1010Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Willem IIPer gameExcelsior
1.5Goals for / game2.8
1.8Goals against / game1.1
39%Ball possession50%
11.2Shots per game12.4
4.0Corners per game4.4
1.36Expected goals1.29

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Willem IIRateExcelsior
40%Wins80%
90%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Willem II LLDDL
L 19 Sept Willem II Sittard (Ned) 0 1 2.60 2.65
L 15 Sept Ajax Willem II 5 1 1.13 23.00
D 11 Sept AZ Alkmaar Willem II 1 1 1.19 17.00
D 30 Aug Willem II Heerenveen 2 2 4.20 1.82
L 15 Aug Willem II Nijmegen 1 4 5.10 1.67
L 8 Aug G.A. Eagles Willem II 4 1 1.53 6.00
W 1 Aug Willem II OFI 2 1 – –
W 25 Jul Willem II KV Mechelen 1 0 3.00 2.17
D 22 Jul Willem II Jong AZ 0 0 – –
D 11 Jul Willem II FC Eindhoven 2 2 1.79 3.50
Excelsior DLDWL
D 19 Sept Ajax Excelsior 2 2 1.24 12.00
L 13 Sept Excelsior Utrecht 1 2 2.12 3.30
D 8 Sept Nijmegen Excelsior 2 2 1.97 3.90
W 29 Aug Excelsior S. Rotterdam 2 1 2.22 3.10
L 15 Aug Excelsior PSV 1 2 6.80 1.47
W 7 Aug Cambuur Excelsior 0 4 2.67 2.72
W 1 Aug De Graafschap Excelsior 1 5 3.00 1.97
W 24 Jul Heracles Excelsior 1 4 – –
W 18 Jul NAC Breda Excelsior 1 3 2.52 2.45
W 11 Jul Dordrecht Excelsior 0 2 – –

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day