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West Ham vs Derby prediction — Championship

Championship · England
West Ham €267.50m
Full time 3 : 0
Derby €71.70m
1 1.39
X 5.40
2 8.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
West Ham win 1 Odds @1.39 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
West Ham 85%@1.39
Draw 9%@5.40
Derby 6%@8.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.20
Under 1.5 22%@4.25
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 73%@1.90
No 27%@1.92
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 73%@1.29
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

West HamModelDerby
1.67xG0.75
52%Ball possession48%
14Shots9
9Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
9Fouls made14
West HamRealDerby
3.28xG0.11
52%Ball possession48%
20Shots5
7Shots on goal0
5Corner kicks6
0Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
6Fouls made16
West HamReal · ModelDerby
3.281.67xG0.110.75
52%52%Ball possession48%48%
2014Shots59
79Shots on goal05
56Corner kicks64
02Yellow cards23
12Offside calls03
69Fouls made1614

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

West HamPer gameDerby
2.1Goals for / game1.2
1.0Goals against / game1.7
53%Ball possession49%
12.3Shots per game10.8
5.3Corners per game4.2
1.42Expected goals0.82

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

West HamRateDerby
40%Wins20%
80%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

West Ham DLWWW
D 19 Sept Millwall West Ham 2 2 5.00 1.70
L 15 Sept West Ham Fulham 2 3 2.62 2.62
W 11 Sept West Ham Wrexham 6 0 1.53 6.60
W 8 Sept Bolton West Ham 2 3 4.75 1.75
W 1 Sept West Ham Wolves 4 2 2.25 3.15
D 29 Aug Watford West Ham 1 1 4.50 1.75
W 25 Aug Southampton West Ham 1 4 2.12 3.50
L 22 Aug West Ham Charlton 0 1 1.45 7.50
D 16 Aug Burnley West Ham 2 2 3.05 2.37
W 8 Aug West Ham Portsmouth 3 1 1.40 7.80
Derby DLLWL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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