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Watford vs Stoke prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Watford €82.40m
Full time 1 : 2
Stoke €97.15m
1 2.35
X 3.30
2 3.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
62%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.39 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Watford 49%@2.35
Draw 25%@3.30
Stoke 26%@3.15
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@2.87
Under 3.5 68%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.77
No 45%@2.07
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 60%@1.62
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

WatfordModelStoke
1.54xG0.90
53%Ball possession47%
17Shots10
8Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
10Fouls made16
WatfordRealStoke
0.38xG1.42
40%Ball possession60%
6Shots18
2Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls3
14Fouls made6
WatfordReal · ModelStoke
0.381.54xG1.420.90
40%53%Ball possession60%47%
617Shots1810
28Shots on goal64
44Corner kicks84
22Yellow cards22
02Offside calls33
1410Fouls made616

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

WatfordPer gameStoke
1.1Goals for / game1.4
1.3Goals against / game1.2
48%Ball possession44%
16.0Shots per game10.8
4.1Corners per game3.0
1.46Expected goals0.99

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

WatfordRateStoke
40%Wins40%
70%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Watford LWLLD
L 18 Sept Bristol City Watford 1 0 1.80 4.60
W 8 Sept Watford Preston 2 1 2.25 3.35
L 5 Sept West Brom Watford 1 0 1.80 4.65
L 1 Sept Swansea Watford 2 0 1.90 4.25
D 29 Aug Watford West Ham 1 1 4.50 1.75
L 25 Aug Watford Peterborough 1 5 2.22 3.40
D 22 Aug Wrexham Watford 1 1 1.93 4.05
W 16 Aug Watford Southampton 2 1 3.70 2.00
W 8 Aug Watford Crawley 1 0 1.31 9.50
L 29 Jul Watford Fiorentina 0 1 3.00 2.30
Stoke WDWWL
W 19 Sept Stoke Sheffield Utd 2 1 2.35 3.15
D 8 Sept Cardiff Stoke 1 1 2.10 3.40
W 5 Sept Stoke Charlton 4 0 2.05 4.10
W 1 Sept Stoke Norwich 1 0 3.45 2.15
L 29 Aug Wolves Stoke 4 1 1.70 5.40
D 25 Aug Stoke Hull 1 1 2.25 3.20
L 22 Aug Southampton Stoke 3 1 1.61 5.30
L 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
W 8 Aug Stoke Oldham 2 0 1.42 6.75
D 1 Aug Stoke Valencia 1 1 2.88 2.55

Past meetings

Watford
2·1·1
Stoke
  • Mar 2026 Stoke 3 - 1 Watford
  • Dec 2025 Watford 1 - 0 Stoke
  • Mar 2025 Stoke 0 - 0 Watford
  • Aug 2024 Watford 3 - 0 Stoke

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day