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Waterford vs Derry City prediction — Premier Division

Premier Division · Ireland
1 2.70
X 3.60
2 2.48

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.20 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Waterford 27%@2.70
Draw 43%@3.60
Derry City 30%@2.48
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 70%@1.20
Under 1.5 30%@2.80
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.53
No 43%@2.40
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.86
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

WaterfordModelDerry City
1.51xG1.08
46%Ball possession54%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
WaterfordRealDerry City
1.45xG0.89
39%Ball possession61%
16Shots14
6Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards5
0Offside calls2
17Fouls made12
WaterfordReal · ModelDerry City
1.451.51xG0.891.08
39%46%Ball possession61%54%
1612Shots1412
65Shots on goal25
76Corner kicks55
12Yellow cards52
02Offside calls21
1712Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

WaterfordPer gameDerry City
1.5Goals for / game1.9
0.5Goals against / game1.4
40%Ball possession50%
12.1Shots per game12.9
6.8Corners per game5.0
1.48Expected goals1.10

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

WaterfordRateDerry City
60%Wins50%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Waterford LDWWD
L 18 Sept Shamrock Rovers Waterford 3 2 1.52 6.40
D 11 Sept Waterford Dundalk 1 1 2.30 3.00
W 4 Sept Waterford Sligo Rovers 3 0 1.67 4.45
W 28 Aug Patrick's A Waterford 0 2 1.39 7.50
D 21 Aug Sligo Rovers Waterford 0 0 2.95 2.33
W 14 Aug Waterford Athlone 2 1 1.42 6.00
W 9 Aug Waterford Bohemians 3 1 3.65 1.97
W 2 Aug Waterford Shelbourne 1 0 2.77 2.35
D 25 Jul Galway Waterford 0 0 1.98 3.50
W 17 Jul Waterford Cobh Ramblers 2 1 1.34 7.90
Derry City WWWDL
W 18 Sept Derry City Galway 1 0 1.60 5.20
W 11 Sept Shelbourne Derry City 0 1 2.43 3.00
W 6 Sept Derry City Dundalk 4 2 1.87 3.75
D 30 Aug Derry City Shamrock Rovers 3 3 2.62 2.65
L 21 Aug Bohemians Derry City 5 3 1.89 4.05
W 14 Aug UCD Derry City 1 2 4.80 1.60
W 7 Aug Derry City Sligo Rovers 2 0 1.36 8.00
D 2 Aug Patrick's A Derry City 1 1 1.68 5.10
L 30 Jul Derry City Rijeka 0 1 4.00 1.95
L 23 Jul Rijeka Derry City 1 0 1.19 15.00

Past meetings

Waterford
2·1·3
Derry City
  • Jul 2026 Derry City 2 - 4 Waterford
  • May 2026 Waterford 2 - 2 Derry City
  • Feb 2026 Derry City 4 - 2 Waterford
  • Oct 2025 Waterford 1 - 2 Derry City
  • Jul 2025 Derry City 7 - 2 Waterford
  • Apr 2025 Waterford 2 - 1 Derry City

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Patrick's A 34 +27 61
2 Shamrock Rovers 33 +18 61
3 Bohemians 33 +19 60
4 Shelbourne 33 -3 41
5 Dundalk 33 -5 41
6 Derry City 33 +2 40
7 Galway 33 -5 40
8 Waterford 33 -10 35
9 Drogheda (Irl) 33 -14 33
10 Sligo Rovers 32 -29 24