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Vitoria vs Gremio prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria €43.47m
Full time 1 : 0
Gremio €79.95m
1 2.25
X 3.30
2 3.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.27 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Vitoria 35%@2.25
Draw 43%@3.30
Gremio 22%@3.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@5.08
Under 3.5 80%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.88
No 42%@1.87
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.51
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

VitoriaModelGremio
0.90xG0.69
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots10
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
VitoriaRealGremio
1.35xG0.43
47%Ball possession53%
20Shots11
6Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards5
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made19
VitoriaReal · ModelGremio
1.350.90xG0.430.69
47%51%Ball possession53%49%
2014Shots1110
65Shots on goal54
65Corner kicks14
22Yellow cards53
12Offside calls11
1313Fouls made1913

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

VitoriaPer gameGremio
0.6Goals for / game1.1
1.7Goals against / game1.0
49%Ball possession49%
12.6Shots per game13.3
4.8Corners per game5.2
0.86Expected goals1.04

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

VitoriaRateGremio
20%Wins40%
80%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.540%
10%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Vitoria LDLLL
L 20 Sept Vitoria Cruzeiro 1 3 3.05 2.32
D 13 Sept Mirassol Vitoria 2 2 1.83 4.80
L 3 Sept Vitoria Vasco 0 2 2.72 2.70
L 29 Aug Atletico-MG Vitoria 2 1 1.98 4.50
L 27 Aug Vasco Vitoria 1 0 1.67 6.30
L 23 Aug Vitoria Bahia 0 2 2.80 2.71
W 16 Aug Vitoria Botafogo 1 0 2.30 3.25
L 9 Aug Flamengo Vitoria 2 0 1.28 13.50
W 7 Aug Vitoria Atletico P 4 0 2.32 3.40
L 4 Aug Atletico P Vitoria 2 0 1.65 7.00
Gremio DLLWW
D 20 Sept Gremio Palmeiras 0 0 4.20 1.98
L 16 Sept Botafogo Gremio 3 2 1.76 4.75
L 12 Sept Gremio Vasco 1 2 3.50 2.17
W 4 Sept Gremio Internacional 3 1 2.90 2.67
W 30 Aug Gremio Chapecoense-sc 3 1 1.60 6.40
D 28 Aug Internacional Gremio 0 0 1.84 5.00
L 23 Aug Bragantino Gremio 1 0 1.60 6.00
L 16 Aug Atletico-MG Gremio 3 0 1.80 5.20
W 8 Aug Gremio Sao Paulo 2 1 2.37 3.35
W 5 Aug Gremio Mirassol 1 0 2.15 4.00

Past meetings

Vitoria
0·2·3
Gremio
  • Mar 2026 Gremio 2 - 0 Vitoria
  • Sept 2025 Gremio 3 - 1 Vitoria
  • Apr 2025 Vitoria 1 - 1 Gremio
  • Dec 2024 Vitoria 1 - 1 Gremio
  • Jul 2024 Gremio 2 - 0 Vitoria

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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