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Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance prediction — MLS Next Pro

1 2.12
X 3.70
2 3.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
93%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ventura County 75%@2.12
Draw 11%@3.70
Tacoma Defiance 14%@3.05
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 88%@1.38
Under 2.5 12%@10.12
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.35
No 42%@2.95
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 81%@1.39
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Ventura CountyModelTacoma Defiance
1.71xG1.32
53%Ball possession47%
13Shots10
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
Ventura CountyRealTacoma Defiance
0.85xG0.56
49%Ball possession51%
11Shots7
7Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made14
Ventura CountyReal · ModelTacoma Defiance
0.851.71xG0.561.32
49%53%Ball possession51%47%
1113Shots710
76Shots on goal24
56Corner kicks74
12Yellow cards12
21Offside calls22
1013Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Ventura CountyPer gameTacoma Defiance
2.7Goals for / game2.1
1.1Goals against / game1.8
49%Ball possession44%
13.0Shots per game10.7
6.2Corners per game3.8
1.80Expected goals1.41

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Ventura CountyRateTacoma Defiance
70%Wins60%
100%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ventura County LWDWD
L 20 Sept Real Monarchs Ventura County 2 1 2.75 2.15
W 10 Sept The Town Ventura County 1 3 2.10 3.70
D 6 Sept Los II Ventura County 1 1 2.20 2.75
W 29 Aug Colorado Ventura County 2 3 2.38 2.80
D 24 Aug Ventura County Portland 2 2 2.65 2.32
W 15 Aug Houston II Ventura County 0 2 1.95 3.55
W 1 Aug Ventura County North Texas 6 1 2.23 2.98
W 26 Jul Ventura County The Town 3 0 2.86 2.18
W 19 Jul Ventura County Los II 2 0 2.23 2.80
L 8 Jul Vancouver II Ventura County 3 2 2.18 2.90
Tacoma Defiance DWLWL
D 20 Sept Tacoma Defiance Portland 1 1 2.38 2.72
W 6 Sept The Town Tacoma Defiance 1 2 1.89 3.75
L 31 Aug Real Monarchs Tacoma Defiance 3 0 2.73 2.32
W 25 Aug Tacoma Defiance Sporting II 4 0 1.61 4.50
L 17 Aug Los II Tacoma Defiance 4 3 1.98 3.30
L 9 Aug North Texas Tacoma Defiance 3 1 2.28 2.72
W 2 Aug Tacoma Defiance Vancouver II 4 2 1.87 3.80
W 27 Jul Tacoma Defiance Colorado 2 1 1.84 3.60
W 20 Jul Real Monarchs Tacoma Defiance 2 4 2.22 2.90
W 13 Jul The Town Tacoma Defiance 0 1 1.83 3.85

Past meetings

Ventura County
3·0·2
Tacoma Defiance
  • May 2026 Tacoma Defiance 1 - 0 Ventura County
  • Mar 2026 Tacoma Defiance 0 - 1 Ventura County
  • Aug 2025 Tacoma Defiance 4 - 6 Ventura County
  • May 2025 Ventura County 1 - 2 Tacoma Defiance
  • Mar 2025 Ventura County 3 - 2 Tacoma Defiance

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Austin II 26 +35 62
2 Crown Legacy 28 +28 53
3 Chattanooga 27 +18 52
4 Houston II 28 +20 48
5 Atlanta II 29 +16 48
6 Portland 26 +7 48
7 Ventura County 25 +21 45
8 New II 27 +7 44
9 Columbus Crew 2 26 +8 42
10 Connecticut FC 28 +5 42
11 New II 28 +5 42
12 Philadelphia II 28 -2 42
13 Los II 26 +5 41
14 Huntsville 28 0 40
15 Minnesota 2 25 +6 39
16 New II 27 +5 39
17 Tacoma Defiance 28 -4 38
18 The Town 27 +13 37
19 Toronto II 28 -8 37
20 Orlando City B 25 0 36
21 North Texas 28 +1 34
22 Chicago Fire II 24 +2 31
23 St. II 25 -6 31
24 Real Monarchs 28 -17 29
25 Carolina Core 26 -12 25
26 Sporting II 27 -35 22
27 Vancouver II 25 -22 19
28 Colorado 28 -24 19
29 Cincinnati 2 27 -28 18
30 Inter Miami II 25 -43 10
31 Chicago Fire 1 -1 0