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USA vs Belgium prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
USA €302.30m
Full time 1 : 4
Belgium €463.00m
1 2.65
X 3.40
2 2.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.25 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
USA 30%@2.65
Draw 43%@3.40
Belgium 27%@2.95
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 86%@1.25
Under 1.5 14%@7.68
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.59
No 42%@2.46
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.61
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

USAModelBelgium
1.36xG2.06
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots20
6Shots on goal9
6Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
USARealBelgium
0.64xG2.14
56%Ball possession44%
7Shots15
2Shots on goal7
3Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards0
0Offside calls1
11Fouls made9
USAReal · ModelBelgium
0.641.36xG2.142.06
56%48%Ball possession44%52%
713Shots1520
26Shots on goal79
36Corner kicks56
21Yellow cards01
02Offside calls12
1113Fouls made912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

USAPer gameBelgium
2.3Goals for / game3.0
1.7Goals against / game0.8
52%Ball possession60%
12.3Shots per game19.6
5.5Corners per game7.0
1.25Expected goals2.15

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

USARateBelgium
60%Wins60%
100%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

USA WWWWL
W 4 Oct USA Mexico 3 0 2.90 2.50
W 30 Sept USA Chile 4 2 1.48 7.50
W 26 Sept USA Peru 4 1 1.47 8.00
W 2 Jul USA Bosnia H 2 0 1.41 9.00
L 26 Jun Turkiye USA 3 2 3.55 2.07
W 19 Jun USA Australia 2 0 1.67 5.35
W 13 Jun USA Paraguay 4 1 2.12 4.00
L 6 Jun USA Germany 1 2 4.60 1.76
W 31 May USA Senegal 3 2 2.75 2.57
L 1 Apr USA Portugal 0 2 5.60 1.65
Belgium WLWLW
W 2 Oct Belgium Turkiye 3 0 1.52 6.30
L 28 Sept Belgium France 0 1 3.45 2.20
W 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
L 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 1 Jul Belgium Senegal 3 2 2.10 4.05
W 27 Jun New Zealand Belgium 1 5 14.00 1.22
D 21 Jun Belgium Iran 0 0 1.47 8.50
D 15 Jun Belgium Egypt 1 1 1.60 6.60
W 6 Jun Belgium Tunisia 5 0 1.39 9.50
W 2 Jun Croatia Belgium 0 2 2.77 2.70

Past meetings

USA
0·0·1
Belgium
  • Mar 2026 USA 2 - 5 Belgium
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