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Uruguay vs Spain prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 6.20
X 3.70
2 1.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
92%Chance
Spain win 2 Odds @1.75 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Uruguay 3%@6.20
Draw 5%@3.70
Spain 92%@1.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@2.81
Under 3.5 68%@1.32
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 35%@2.00
No 65%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 78%@1.36
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

UruguayModelSpain
1.18xG2.58
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots21
5Shots on goal9
6Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards1
3Offside calls3
11Fouls made9
UruguayRealSpain
0.20xG0.86
33%Ball possession67%
5Shots6
1Shots on goal1
1Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards1
5Offside calls2
14Fouls made14
UruguayReal · ModelSpain
0.201.18xG0.862.58
33%47%Ball possession67%53%
513Shots621
15Shots on goal19
16Corner kicks68
32Yellow cards11
53Offside calls23
1411Fouls made149

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

UruguayPer gameSpain
1.1Goals for / game2.3
1.0Goals against / game0.4
57%Ball possession70%
13.1Shots per game20.1
5.3Corners per game7.7
1.13Expected goals2.59

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

UruguayRateSpain
30%Wins60%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Uruguay WLDDD
W 28 Sept South Korea Uruguay 1 4 2.72 2.90
L 24 Sept Japan Uruguay 3 1 1.75 5.10
D 21 Jun Uruguay Cape Verde 2 2 1.44 9.75
D 15 Jun Saudi Arabia Uruguay 1 1 8.50 1.52
D 31 Mar Algeria Uruguay 0 0 4.50 2.00
D 27 Mar England Uruguay 1 1 1.57 6.50
L 19 Nov USA Uruguay 5 1 3.55 2.25
D 16 Nov Mexico Uruguay 0 0 2.85 2.72
W 13 Oct Uzbekistan Uruguay 1 2 3.99 1.95
W 10 Oct Uruguay Dominican 1 0 1.13 17.00
Spain WWWWW
W 3 Oct Spain Czechia 3 1 1.09 31.00
W 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 19 Jul Spain Argentina 1 0 2.47 3.75
W 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 2 Jul Spain Austria 3 0 1.35 11.25
W 21 Jun Spain Saudi Arabia 4 0 1.14 30.00
D 15 Jun Spain Cape Verde 0 0 1.12 35.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.