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UPNFM vs Motagua prediction — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional · Honduras
UPNFM €1.75m
Full time 2 : 1
Motagua €4.05m
1 6.30
X 4.45
2 1.48

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
55%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.49 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
UPNFM 25%@6.30
Draw 35%@4.45
Motagua 40%@1.48
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 45%@1.82
Under 3.5 55%@1.49
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.72
No 42%@2.00

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

UPNFMPer gameMotagua
0.7Goals for / game1.7
1.7Goals against / game0.8
47%Ball possession53%
7.6Shots per game11.1
3.9Corners per game5.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

UPNFMRateMotagua
10%Wins60%
70%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

UPNFM WWLLL
W 18 Sept Platense UPNFM 0 2 2.38 2.87
W 13 Sept UPNFM Choloma 1 0 1.87 4.50
L 7 Sept Real Espana UPNFM 2 0 1.40 6.50
L 29 Aug Juticalpa UPNFM 1 0 3.05 2.22
L 22 Aug Motagua UPNFM 4 1 1.55 5.50
D 16 Aug UPNFM Estrella Roja 2 2 2.30 3.10
D 9 Aug UPNFM Olancho 1 1 2.85 2.42
L 3 Aug Olimpia UPNFM 2 0 1.27 8.90
L 27 Apr Juticalpa UPNFM 1 0 2.70 2.55
L 24 Apr UPNFM Genesis 0 1 1.98 4.00
Motagua LDWWD
L 20 Sept Real Espana Motagua 1 0 2.30 3.05
D 17 Sept Alianza(Slv) Motagua(Hon) 0 0 2.28 2.86
W 13 Sept Motagua Genesis 1 0 1.60 4.85
W 10 Sept Motagua(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 3 0 1.52 6.30
D 6 Sept Atletico I Motagua 0 0 3.75 1.90
W 30 Aug Motagua Olancho 2 1 1.71 4.40
D 26 Aug Municipal(Gua) Motagua(Hon) 1 1 2.40 2.94
W 22 Aug Motagua UPNFM 4 1 1.55 5.50
L 17 Aug Olimpia Motagua 3 1 2.15 3.75
D 13 Aug Motagua Cartagines 1 1 2.00 3.60

Past meetings

UPNFM
1·2·3
Motagua
  • Aug 2026 Motagua 4 - 1 UPNFM
  • Mar 2026 Motagua 2 - 0 UPNFM
  • Nov 2025 UPNFM 0 - 0 Motagua
  • Sept 2025 Motagua 3 - 3 UPNFM
  • Apr 2025 UPNFM 2 - 1 Motagua
  • Feb 2025 Motagua 5 - 0 UPNFM

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Motagua 24 +19 44
2 Olimpia 21 +17 39
3 Real Espana 21 +9 37
4 Olancho 22 +11 35
5 Marathon 23 +1 31
6 Genesis 21 -5 27
7 Choloma 17 -8 21
8 Platense 18 -1 20
9 UPNFM 18 -7 19
10 Victoria 18 -15 14
11 Juticalpa 17 -21 14
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