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UPNFM vs Choloma prediction — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional · Honduras
UPNFM €3.26m
Full time 1 : 0
Choloma
1 1.87
X 3.90
2 4.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.47 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
UPNFM 57%@1.87
Draw 23%@3.90
Choloma 20%@4.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.78
Under 3.5 72%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.74
No 40%@2.24
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 55%@3.18
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

UPNFMModelCholoma
49%Ball possession51%
10Shots8
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
UPNFMRealCholoma
59%Ball possession41%
2Shots1
2Shots on goal1
0Corner kicks0
1Yellow cards0
UPNFMReal · ModelCholoma
59%49%Ball possession41%51%
210Shots18
24Shots on goal14
05Corner kicks05
13Yellow cards03

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

UPNFMPer gameCholoma
0.7Goals for / game1.2
1.9Goals against / game1.7
50%Ball possession51%
8.5Shots per game9.7
4.4Corners per game5.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

UPNFMRateCholoma
10%Wins30%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

UPNFM WLLLD
W 18 Sept Platense UPNFM 0 2 2.38 2.87
L 7 Sept Real Espana UPNFM 2 0 1.40 6.50
L 29 Aug Juticalpa UPNFM 1 0 3.05 2.22
L 22 Aug Motagua UPNFM 4 1 1.55 5.50
D 16 Aug UPNFM Estrella Roja 2 2 2.30 3.10
D 9 Aug UPNFM Olancho 1 1 2.85 2.42
L 3 Aug Olimpia UPNFM 2 0 1.27 8.90
W 1 May UPNFM Motagua 2 1 6.30 1.48
L 27 Apr Juticalpa UPNFM 1 0 2.70 2.55
L 24 Apr UPNFM Genesis 0 1 1.98 4.00
Choloma WDLWL
W 19 Sept Choloma Estrella Roja 2 0 2.65 2.92
D 5 Sept Choloma Olancho 0 0 4.00 1.78
L 31 Aug Real Espana Choloma 2 1 1.53 5.80
W 23 Aug Choloma Platense 2 0 2.50 2.92
L 16 Aug Choloma Marathon 0 1 6.10 1.52
L 10 Aug Atletico I Choloma 2 1 2.00 3.25
L 1 Aug Genesis Choloma 2 0 1.90 3.60
W 1 May Marathon Choloma 0 1 1.35 8.00
L 27 Apr Motagua Choloma 5 1 1.34 9.00
L 19 Apr Choloma Olimpia 1 3 8.25 1.35

Past meetings

UPNFM
0·2·2
Choloma
  • Mar 2026 UPNFM 1 - 2 Choloma
  • Jan 2026 Choloma 0 - 0 UPNFM
  • Oct 2025 Choloma 5 - 1 UPNFM
  • Aug 2025 UPNFM 2 - 2 Choloma

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Real Espana 10 +9 20
2 Olimpia 10 +12 19
3 Marathon 10 +8 19
4 Motagua 9 +3 14
5 Olancho 10 +1 13
6 Genesis 9 +4 12
7 Estrella Roja 9 -3 10
8 Atletico I 9 -4 10
9 UPNFM 9 -5 9
10 Choloma 9 -2 8
11 Juticalpa 9 -11 7
12 Platense 9 -12 6
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