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Universitario vs Comercian prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Universitario €14.43m
Full time 2 : 2
Comercian €6.70m
1 1.35
X 4.90
2 9.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
59%Chance
Universitario win 1 Odds @1.35 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Universitario 59%@1.35
Draw 27%@4.90
Comercian 14%@9.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 69%@1.26
Under 1.5 31%@2.80
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@2.15
No 54%@1.67
Bet Builder
1 & Under 4.5 56%@1.67
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

UniversitarioModelComercian
1.67xG1.54
46%Ball possession54%
16Shots14
7Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
UniversitarioRealComercian
1.86xG0.51
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots8
5Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
17Fouls made12
UniversitarioReal · ModelComercian
1.861.67xG0.511.54
54%46%Ball possession46%54%
1416Shots814
57Shots on goal56
75Corner kicks33
32Yellow cards22
01Offside calls21
1711Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

UniversitarioPer gameComercian
1.8Goals for / game1.4
1.2Goals against / game1.6
49%Ball possession56%
12.4Shots per game15.0
4.2Corners per game3.3
1.38Expected goals1.64

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

UniversitarioRateComercian
60%Wins20%
100%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Universitario LWWWW
L 20 Sept Deportivo Universitario 4 0 2.40 3.15
W 13 Sept Alianza Lima Universitario 1 2 2.28 3.55
W 29 Aug Cajamarca Universitario 2 4 3.30 2.23
W 24 Aug Universitario Los Chankas 3 0 1.26 11.50
W 16 Aug FC Cajamarca Universitario 2 3 4.25 1.92
D 8 Aug Universitario Sporting 1 1 1.82 4.20
L 3 Aug Cienciano Universitario 2 0 2.08 3.70
W 25 Jul Universitario Cusco 2 1 1.41 7.10
W 18 Jul ADT Universitario 1 2 3.00 2.40
W 11 Jul Universitario Millonarios 2 0 2.37 2.95
Comercian LLLWL
L 18 Sept Alianza Atl. Comercian 2 1 1.70 5.00
L 12 Sept Comercian Sport Huancayo 0 1 2.10 3.55
L 28 Aug Comercian FC Cajamarca 2 3 1.63 5.60
W 22 Aug Cajamarca Comercian 1 3 2.16 3.55
L 14 Aug Grau Comercian 1 0 2.33 3.30
W 7 Aug Comercian Cusco 3 1 2.57 2.70
L 31 Jul Los Chankas Comercian 3 2 1.87 4.60
D 26 Jul Comercian Alianza Lima 2 2 3.70 2.20
D 18 Jul Moquegua Comercian 2 2 2.25 3.50
D 27 Jun Comercian Juan Pablo II 0 0 1.97 3.55

Past meetings

Universitario
3·2·0
Comercian
  • Mar 2026 Comercian 0 - 0 Universitario
  • Jul 2025 Universitario 3 - 1 Comercian
  • Feb 2025 Comercian 1 - 1 Universitario
  • Sept 2024 Comercian 0 - 2 Universitario
  • Apr 2024 Universitario 6 - 0 Comercian

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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