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Union S vs Instituto prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Union S €16.90m
Full time 3 : 2
Instituto
1 3.10
X 3.05
2 2.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
88%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Union S 57%@3.10
Draw 20%@3.05
Instituto 23%@2.65
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 12%@11.37
Under 2.5 88%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@2.10
No 60%@1.75
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 56%@1.56
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Union SModelInstituto
1.08xG1.51
51%Ball possession49%
13Shots13
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made10
Union SRealInstituto
0.94xG0.81
43%Ball possession57%
9Shots11
4Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards5
3Offside calls0
6Fouls made12
Union SReal · ModelInstituto
0.941.08xG0.811.51
43%51%Ball possession57%49%
913Shots1113
46Shots on goal26
24Corner kicks65
12Yellow cards52
31Offside calls02
613Fouls made1210

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Union SPer gameInstituto
1.4Goals for / game1.1
1.5Goals against / game0.4
47%Ball possession47%
12.4Shots per game14.8
3.8Corners per game5.9
1.05Expected goals1.74

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Union SRateInstituto
40%Wins70%
90%Over 1.540%
60%Over 2.520%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Union S LLLWW
L 3 Oct Boca Juniors Union S 3 0 1.47 8.00
L 19 Sept Union S Independiente 1 2 2.52 3.10
L 13 Sept Talleres Union S 2 1 2.25 3.75
W 28 Aug Union S Sarmiento Junin 4 1 2.00 4.60
W 21 Aug Aldosivi Union S 1 3 2.85 2.87
L 15 Aug San Lorenzo Union S 1 0 2.95 2.85
L 11 Aug Union S Central C 1 2 1.60 7.00
W 6 Aug Union S Lanus 2 1 2.37 3.50
L 1 Aug Gimnasia M. Union S 2 0 3.20 2.52
D 25 Jul Platense Union S 2 2 2.55 3.45
Instituto WWWWD
W 2 Oct Independiente Instituto 1 4 2.57 3.30
W 20 Sept Instituto Talleres 3 1 2.00 4.80
W 15 Sept Instituto Estudiant 2 1 1.47 10.50
W 1 Sept Instituto San Lorenzo 1 0 1.95 5.00
D 28 Aug Platense Instituto 1 1 3.30 2.40
D 22 Aug Atl. Tucuman Instituto 0 0 2.82 2.88
W 17 Aug Central C Instituto 0 1 3.85 2.20
W 9 Aug Instituto Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.59 6.80
W 3 Aug Lanus Instituto 0 1 2.15 4.00
W 30 Jul Instituto Platense 2 1 2.05 4.55

Past meetings

Union S
2·2·0
Instituto
  • Mar 2026 Instituto 1 - 2 Union S
  • Aug 2025 Instituto 0 - 4 Union S
  • Feb 2025 Union S 0 - 0 Instituto
  • May 2024 Instituto 1 - 1 Union S

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11
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