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Union S vs Independiente prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

1 2.52
X 3.10
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
77%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.39 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Union S 62%@2.52
Draw 19%@3.10
Independiente 19%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 69%@1.47
Under 1.5 31%@3.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.97
No 41%@1.80
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 56%@1.98
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Union SModelIndependiente
1.17xG1.08
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots13
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made11
Union SRealIndependiente
1.33xG0.33
56%Ball possession44%
20Shots8
4Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards4
3Offside calls0
11Fouls made12
Union SReal · ModelIndependiente
1.331.17xG0.331.08
56%46%Ball possession44%54%
2014Shots813
45Shots on goal44
64Corner kicks15
22Yellow cards42
32Offside calls02
1112Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Union SPer gameIndependiente
1.6Goals for / game0.8
1.6Goals against / game1.1
47%Ball possession55%
12.8Shots per game14.5
3.2Corners per game7.3
1.04Expected goals1.07

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Union SRateIndependiente
40%Wins40%
90%Over 1.550%
70%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Union S LLWWW
L 3 Oct Boca Juniors Union S 3 0 1.47 8.00
L 13 Sept Talleres Union S 2 1 2.25 3.75
W 8 Sept Union S Instituto 3 2 3.10 2.65
W 28 Aug Union S Sarmiento Junin 4 1 2.00 4.60
W 21 Aug Aldosivi Union S 1 3 2.85 2.87
L 15 Aug San Lorenzo Union S 1 0 2.95 2.85
L 11 Aug Union S Central C 1 2 1.60 7.00
W 6 Aug Union S Lanus 2 1 2.37 3.50
L 1 Aug Gimnasia M. Union S 2 0 3.20 2.52
D 25 Jul Platense Union S 2 2 2.55 3.45
Independiente LDWLD
L 2 Oct Independiente Instituto 1 4 2.57 3.30
D 13 Sept Independiente San Lorenzo 1 1 2.12 4.25
W 6 Sept Central C Independiente 0 1 3.10 2.70
L 30 Aug Independiente Gimnasia M. 0 3 1.93 5.10
D 22 Aug Independiente Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 2.52 3.55
W 17 Aug Lanus Independiente 1 3 2.08 4.25
L 12 Aug Atl. Tucuman Independiente 4 0 3.90 2.25
L 9 Aug Independiente Platense 0 1 1.85 5.60
L 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 31 Jul Independiente Newells 1 0 1.66 6.75

Past meetings

Union S
0·1·2
Independiente
  • May 2026 Union S 0 - 2 Independiente
  • Mar 2026 Independiente 4 - 4 Union S
  • Nov 2024 Independiente 3 - 0 Union S

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11