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Turkey vs Italy prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Turkey €411.00m
Full time 1 : 4
Italy €871.50m
1 2.95
X 3.50
2 2.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
60%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.57 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Turkey 47%@2.95
Draw 22%@3.50
Italy 31%@2.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 71%@1.24
Under 1.5 29%@3.04
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.56
No 44%@2.43
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.89
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TurkeyModelItaly
1.48xG1.32
52%Ball possession48%
17Shots16
5Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
TurkeyRealItaly
1.86xG2.39
54%Ball possession46%
15Shots14
3Shots on goal8
6Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards0
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made21
TurkeyReal · ModelItaly
1.861.48xG2.391.32
54%52%Ball possession46%48%
1517Shots1416
35Shots on goal85
66Corner kicks25
32Yellow cards02
12Offside calls21
1212Fouls made2111

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TurkeyPer gameItaly
1.5Goals for / game1.9
0.9Goals against / game1.2
57%Ball possession55%
17.9Shots per game17.3
7.3Corners per game6.5
1.59Expected goals1.55

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TurkeyRateItaly
60%Wins70%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Turkey LLWLL
L 2 Oct Belgium Turkiye 3 0 1.52 6.30
L 25 Sept Turkiye France 0 1 8.00 1.38
W 26 Jun Turkiye USA 3 2 3.55 2.07
L 20 Jun Turkiye Paraguay 0 1 2.12 4.20
L 14 Jun Australia Turkiye 2 0 5.53 1.75
W 6 Jun Venezuela Turkiye 1 2 6.20 1.57
W 1 Jun Turkiye Macedonia 4 0 1.22 14.00
W 31 Mar Kosovo Turkiye 0 1 4.10 2.02
W 26 Mar Türkiye Romania 1 0 1.50 7.50
D 18 Nov Spain Türkiye 2 2 1.21 17.00
Italy DLWWD
D 2 Oct France Italy 1 1 1.52 6.60
L 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
W 7 Jun Greece Italy 0 1 2.80 2.80
W 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
D 31 Mar Bosnia H Italy 1 1 9.00 1.52
W 26 Mar Italy N. Ireland 2 0 1.28 16.00
L 16 Nov Italy Norway 1 4 2.27 3.40
W 13 Nov Moldova Italy 0 2 25.00 1.10
W 14 Oct Italy Israel 3 0 1.19 14.50
W 11 Oct Estonia Italy 1 3 29.00 1.08

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day