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Tukums vs Jelgava prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
Tukums €2.45m
Full time 1 : 4
Jelgava €2.78m
1 2.72
X 3.30
2 2.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.37 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tukums 14%@2.72
Draw 12%@3.30
Jelgava 74%@2.35
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 68%@1.68
Under 2.5 32%@3.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.55
No 40%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 68%@1.57
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TukumsModelJelgava
0.80xG1.09
43%Ball possession57%
10Shots12
5Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
TukumsRealJelgava
0.65xG3.47
40%Ball possession60%
12Shots25
5Shots on goal9
3Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
21Fouls made14
TukumsReal · ModelJelgava
0.650.80xG3.471.09
40%43%Ball possession60%57%
1210Shots2512
55Shots on goal96
33Corner kicks44
42Yellow cards12
12Offside calls02
2111Fouls made1414

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TukumsPer gameJelgava
0.9Goals for / game1.5
2.4Goals against / game1.5
40%Ball possession46%
10.6Shots per game11.0
3.8Corners per game4.0
0.78Expected goals1.01

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TukumsRateJelgava
10%Wins40%
90%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tukums DLWLL
D 20 Sept Tukums Grobina 1 1 2.32 2.85
L 10 Sept Super Nova Tukums 1 0 2.25 2.90
W 5 Sept Tukums Ogre United 2 1 1.79 3.85
L 21 Aug Auda Tukums 3 0 1.41 6.60
L 8 Aug BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2 0 1.75 4.05
W 2 Aug Tukums FK Liepaja 2 1 3.10 2.00
L 27 Jul Tukums Rigas FS 0 1 9.50 1.23
L 18 Jul Riga Tukums 3 1 1.16 13.00
L 11 Jul Tukums Super Nova 1 2 2.45 2.65
L 5 Jul Grobina Tukums 3 1 2.05 3.20
Jelgava LDLWL
L 19 Sept Jelgava Riga 0 1 7.50 1.33
D 12 Sept Grobina Jelgava 0 0 2.48 2.73
L 5 Sept Jelgava Super Nova 0 1 1.90 3.70
W 22 Aug Ogre United Jelgava 2 3 3.35 2.12
L 9 Aug Jelgava Auda 0 1 3.40 2.12
L 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 20 Jul Jelgava Rigas FS 0 1 9.00 1.30
L 12 Jul Rigas FS Jelgava 2 0 – –
L 3 Jul Riga Jelgava 3 0 1.17 14.00

Past meetings

Tukums
1·3·2
Jelgava
  • Jun 2026 Jelgava 4 - 1 Tukums
  • May 2026 Tukums 5 - 0 Jelgava
  • Mar 2026 Jelgava 2 - 1 Tukums
  • Nov 2025 Tukums 1 - 1 Jelgava
  • Aug 2025 Jelgava 1 - 1 Tukums
  • Jun 2025 Tukums 1 - 1 Jelgava

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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