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Tukums vs FK Liepaja prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
Tukums €2.15m
Full time 2 : 1
FK Liepaja €5.60m
1 3.10
X 3.55
2 2.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.55 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tukums 25%@3.10
Draw 21%@3.55
FK Liepaja 54%@2.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 78%@1.55
Under 2.5 22%@5.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.52
No 42%@2.37
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 80%@1.44
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TukumsModelFK Liepaja
0.58xG1.81
48%Ball possession52%
10Shots13
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made11
TukumsRealFK Liepaja
1.84xG1.42
42%Ball possession58%
14Shots19
5Shots on goal2
1Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
8Fouls made17
TukumsReal · ModelFK Liepaja
1.840.58xG1.421.81
42%48%Ball possession58%52%
1410Shots1913
55Shots on goal27
14Corner kicks54
32Yellow cards13
02Offside calls22
812Fouls made1711

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TukumsPer gameFK Liepaja
1.0Goals for / game1.1
2.3Goals against / game1.6
42%Ball possession43%
12.6Shots per game12.3
4.3Corners per game4.1
0.87Expected goals1.65

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TukumsRateFK Liepaja
10%Wins40%
90%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.550%
80%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tukums DLWLL
D 20 Sept Tukums Grobina 1 1 2.32 2.85
L 10 Sept Super Nova Tukums 1 0 2.25 2.90
W 5 Sept Tukums Ogre United 2 1 1.79 3.85
L 29 Aug Tukums Jelgava 1 4 2.72 2.35
L 21 Aug Auda Tukums 3 0 1.41 6.60
L 8 Aug BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2 0 1.75 4.05
L 27 Jul Tukums Rigas FS 0 1 9.50 1.23
L 18 Jul Riga Tukums 3 1 1.16 13.00
L 11 Jul Tukums Super Nova 1 2 2.45 2.65
L 5 Jul Grobina Tukums 3 1 2.05 3.20
FK Liepaja DDDWL
D 19 Sept FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 0 0 2.15 3.10
D 11 Sept Ogre United FK Liepaja 2 2 4.50 1.65
D 7 Sept Rigas FS FK Liepaja 0 0 1.32 8.80
W 31 Aug FK Liepaja Riga 3 2 6.40 1.41
L 25 Aug Auda FK Liepaja 1 0 2.00 3.50
W 21 Aug FK Liepaja Grobina 3 1 1.56 5.30
W 9 Aug Super Nova FK Liepaja 1 2 3.35 1.98
L 30 Jul Austria Vienna FK Liepaja 3 1 1.27 12.00
W 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 23 Jul FK Liepaja Austria Vienna 0 2 7.50 1.45

Past meetings

Tukums
0·3·3
FK Liepaja
  • May 2026 FK Liepaja 3 - 0 Tukums
  • Apr 2026 Tukums 2 - 2 FK Liepaja
  • Sept 2025 FK Liepaja 4 - 1 Tukums
  • Jun 2025 Tukums 1 - 3 FK Liepaja
  • May 2025 Tukums 2 - 2 FK Liepaja
  • Mar 2025 FK Liepaja 0 - 0 Tukums

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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