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Toulouse vs Lyon prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse €127.40m
Full time 0 : 2
Lyon €293.45m
1 2.35
X 3.50
2 3.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.29 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toulouse 35%@2.35
Draw 24%@3.50
Lyon 41%@3.20
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 76%@1.29
Under 1.5 24%@4.09
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.71
No 40%@2.17
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.03
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ToulouseModelLyon
0.92xG1.51
44%Ball possession56%
11Shots13
5Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made12
ToulouseRealLyon
2.66xG0.64
48%Ball possession52%
18Shots11
2Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
15Fouls made15
ToulouseReal · ModelLyon
2.660.92xG0.641.51
48%44%Ball possession52%56%
1811Shots1113
25Shots on goal38
63Corner kicks56
13Yellow cards21
21Offside calls01
1515Fouls made1512

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ToulousePer gameLyon
1.4Goals for / game2.0
2.2Goals against / game1.9

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ToulouseRateLyon
30%Wins50%
100%Over 1.5100%
90%Over 2.570%
90%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toulouse WDLDL
W 19 Sept Toulouse Le Havre 3 2 1.70 5.30
D 12 Sept Lorient Toulouse 2 2 2.42 3.05
L 3 Sept Toulouse Lille 0 1 4.10 2.00
D 29 Aug Brest Toulouse 2 2 2.50 2.95
L 15 Aug Toulouse(Fra) Hamburger(Ger) 1 2 2.60 2.55
W 31 Jul Toulouse Real Sociedad 2 1 2.75 2.40
D 25 Jul Toulouse Rodez 1 1 – –
D 17 May Nantes Toulouse 0 0 2.77 2.80
W 10 May Toulouse Lyon 2 1 4.40 1.88
W 3 May Strasbourg Toulouse 1 2 3.10 2.35
Lyon WWDWD
W 19 Sept Lyon Rennes 4 0 2.17 3.25
W 16 Sept Anderlecht(Bel) Lyon(Fra) 1 2 3.05 2.40
D 12 Sept Paris FC Lyon 0 0 2.55 2.75
W 4 Sept Lyon Auxerre 3 1 1.44 7.50
D 29 Aug Lyon Le Havre 1 1 1.47 7.40
L 26 Aug Lyon(Fra) Fenerbahce(Tur) 1 2 2.00 4.00
D 18 Aug Fenerbahce(Tur) Lyon(Fra) 1 1 2.15 3.60
W 11 Aug Lyon Sparta Praha 3 0 1.38 8.30
L 4 Aug Sparta Praha Lyon 2 1 3.50 2.20
L 29 Jul Betis Lyon 4 0 2.47 2.75

Past meetings

Toulouse
2·1·2
Lyon
  • May 2026 Toulouse 2 - 1 Lyon
  • Oct 2025 Lyon 1 - 2 Toulouse
  • Jan 2025 Lyon 0 - 0 Toulouse
  • Sept 2024 Toulouse 1 - 2 Lyon
  • Mar 2024 Toulouse 2 - 3 Lyon

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3
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