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Toulouse vs Lille prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse €112.90m
Full time 0 : 1
Lille €267.10m
1 4.10
X 3.75
2 2.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toulouse 18%@4.10
Draw 19%@3.75
Lille 63%@2.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@3.93
Under 3.5 74%@1.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.76
No 54%@2.05
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 72%@1.52
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ToulouseModelLille
1.27xG1.33
47%Ball possession53%
11Shots11
3Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
15Fouls made11
ToulouseRealLille
3.47xG1.07
53%Ball possession47%
24Shots10
10Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards0
3Offside calls0
16Fouls made9
ToulouseReal · ModelLille
3.471.27xG1.071.33
53%47%Ball possession47%53%
2411Shots1011
103Shots on goal68
63Corner kicks23
12Yellow cards02
31Offside calls02
1615Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ToulousePer gameLille
1.5Goals for / game1.8
1.9Goals against / game1.1
42%Ball possession51%
12.0Shots per game12.2
3.3Corners per game4.6
1.19Expected goals1.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ToulouseRateLille
30%Wins50%
100%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.540%
90%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toulouse WDDLL
W 19 Sept Toulouse Le Havre 3 2 1.70 5.30
D 12 Sept Lorient Toulouse 2 2 2.42 3.05
D 29 Aug Brest Toulouse 2 2 2.50 2.95
L 22 Aug Toulouse Lyon 0 2 2.35 3.20
L 15 Aug Toulouse(Fra) Hamburger(Ger) 1 2 2.60 2.55
W 31 Jul Toulouse Real Sociedad 2 1 2.75 2.40
D 25 Jul Toulouse Rodez 1 1 – –
D 17 May Nantes Toulouse 0 0 2.77 2.80
W 10 May Toulouse Lyon 2 1 4.40 1.88
W 3 May Strasbourg Toulouse 1 2 3.10 2.35
Lille WLWLD
W 2 Oct Lille(Fra) Waregem(Bel) 2 1 – –
L 20 Sept Nice Lille 2 1 3.25 2.20
W 13 Sept Lille Troyes 2 0 1.55 7.00
L 8 Sept Lille(Fra) Betis(Esp) 2 3 2.22 3.50
D 28 Aug Lille PSG 2 2 4.85 1.80
W 23 Aug Angers Lille 0 2 4.85 1.82
D 15 Aug Everton(Eng) Lille(Fra) 1 1 2.22 3.30
W 8 Aug Hamburger Lille 0 1 3.45 1.85
W 1 Aug Leuven Lille 3 6 4.60 1.67
W 18 Jul Lille RAAL L 3 0 1.29 8.70

Past meetings

Toulouse
1·0·4
Lille
  • Apr 2026 Toulouse 0 - 4 Lille
  • Sept 2025 Lille 2 - 1 Toulouse
  • Apr 2025 Toulouse 1 - 2 Lille
  • Oct 2024 Lille 2 - 1 Toulouse
  • Feb 2024 Toulouse 3 - 1 Lille

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3
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