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Toronto FC vs New York City prediction — Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer · USA
Toronto FC €45.65m
Full time 1 : 1
New York City €69.40m
1 2.57
X 3.55
2 2.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.70 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toronto FC 25%@2.57
Draw 18%@3.55
New York City 57%@2.65
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.70
Under 2.5 26%@4.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.55
No 43%@2.40
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.79
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Toronto FCModelNew York City
0.96xG1.39
47%Ball possession53%
10Shots11
5Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made11
Toronto FCRealNew York City
0.73xG0.30
41%Ball possession59%
14Shots4
6Shots on goal1
7Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
10Fouls made13
Toronto FCReal · ModelNew York City
0.730.96xG0.301.39
41%47%Ball possession59%53%
1410Shots411
65Shots on goal16
74Corner kicks23
31Yellow cards32
21Offside calls31
1010Fouls made1311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Toronto FCPer gameNew York City
1.3Goals for / game1.5
1.7Goals against / game1.5
45%Ball possession49%
10.9Shots per game11.0
3.8Corners per game2.9
0.99Expected goals1.45

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Toronto FCRateNew York City
20%Wins30%
80%Over 1.5100%
70%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toronto FC LLLWD
L 27 Sept Nashville SC Toronto FC 2 0 1.40 8.50
L 20 Sept St. L Toronto FC 3 1 1.78 4.75
L 13 Sept Orlando City Toronto FC 3 0 2.48 3.85
W 10 Sept Toronto FC Nashville SC 2 1 3.50 2.05
D 6 Sept Toronto FC Chicago Fire 4 4 2.88 2.42
W 23 Aug Inter Miami Toronto FC 1 2 1.39 7.30
D 20 Aug Toronto FC Charlotte 3 3 2.37 2.88
W 16 Aug Toronto FC New E 2 1 2.25 3.35
D 1 Aug New York City Toronto FC 1 1 1.74 5.00
L 26 Jul DC United Toronto FC 2 1 2.08 3.50
New York City DLWLD
D 27 Sept Atlanta Utd New York City 2 2 2.52 2.75
L 19 Sept New York City New Y 0 1 1.92 4.50
W 13 Sept Real Salt Lake New York City 0 2 2.15 3.55
L 10 Sept New York City New E 1 2 2.65 2.70
D 5 Sept New York City Nashville SC 0 0 3.15 2.35
D 23 Aug New E New York City 1 1 2.21 3.25
L 20 Aug FC Cincinnati New York City 2 1 1.90 3.60
L 16 Aug New York City Philadelp 2 3 2.95 2.48
L 14 Aug New York City(Usa) Necaxa(Mex) 1 2 1.72 4.50
L 10 Aug Cruz Azul New York City 2 1 2.28 3.05

Past meetings

Toronto FC
0·1·4
New York City
  • Aug 2026 New York City 1 - 1 Toronto FC
  • Jul 2025 New York City 3 - 1 Toronto FC
  • Apr 2025 Toronto FC 0 - 1 New York City
  • May 2024 Toronto FC 2 - 3 New York City
  • Mar 2024 New York City 2 - 1 Toronto FC

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 +34 62
2 Vancouver 29 +33 53
3 St. L 29 +12 49
4 FC Dallas 29 +8 49
5 Inter Miami 29 +14 48
6 New E 29 +9 48
7 San J 29 +10 47
8 Houston Dynamo 29 +2 46
9 Charlotte 29 +9 45
10 Los A 30 +13 43
11 Chicago Fire 28 +7 42
12 Philadelp 29 +10 41
13 Seattle S 29 0 40
14 Colorado Rapids 29 0 38
15 Los A 29 -6 38
16 Orlando City 28 -15 36
17 New York City 29 +5 35
18 FC Cincinnati 28 -9 35
19 New Y 29 -17 35
20 San Diego 29 0 34
21 Portland 29 -3 34
22 Real Salt Lake 29 -4 34
23 Austin 29 -12 33
24 DC United 28 -8 32
25 Minnesota 29 -9 31
26 Toronto FC 29 -12 31
27 Atlanta Utd 29 -13 29
28 Columbus Crew 28 -5 28
29 CF Montreal 29 -20 26
30 Sporting 29 -33 23
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