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Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire prediction — Major League Soccer

1 2.88
X 3.70
2 2.42

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
62%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.50 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toronto FC 29%@2.88
Draw 23%@3.70
Chicago Fire 48%@2.42
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.54
Under 2.5 27%@4.16
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.46
No 40%@2.62
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 59%@1.69
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Toronto FCModelChicago Fire
0.87xG1.56
45%Ball possession55%
10Shots14
5Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made12
Toronto FCRealChicago Fire
1.17xG1.92
43%Ball possession57%
17Shots15
8Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
9Fouls made7
Toronto FCReal · ModelChicago Fire
1.170.87xG1.921.56
43%45%Ball possession57%55%
1710Shots1514
85Shots on goal68
64Corner kicks34
22Yellow cards22
22Offside calls21
910Fouls made712

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Toronto FCPer gameChicago Fire
1.2Goals for / game1.8
1.4Goals against / game1.3
45%Ball possession51%
11.0Shots per game13.3
4.1Corners per game4.3
0.96Expected goals1.60

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Toronto FCRateChicago Fire
20%Wins60%
80%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toronto FC LLLWD
L 27 Sept Nashville SC Toronto FC 2 0 1.40 8.50
L 20 Sept St. L Toronto FC 3 1 1.78 4.75
L 13 Sept Orlando City Toronto FC 3 0 2.48 3.85
W 10 Sept Toronto FC Nashville SC 2 1 3.50 2.05
D 30 Aug Toronto FC New York City 1 1 2.57 2.65
W 23 Aug Inter Miami Toronto FC 1 2 1.39 7.30
D 20 Aug Toronto FC Charlotte 3 3 2.37 2.88
W 16 Aug Toronto FC New E 2 1 2.25 3.35
D 1 Aug New York City Toronto FC 1 1 1.74 5.00
L 26 Jul DC United Toronto FC 2 1 2.08 3.50
Chicago Fire WLLDD
W 27 Sept Charlotte Chicago Fire 0 1 2.30 2.92
L 20 Sept Nashville SC Chicago Fire 3 0 1.85 4.05
L 13 Sept Chicago Fire New E 1 2 2.02 3.55
D 10 Sept Chicago Fire Inter Miami 1 1 2.37 2.65
D 29 Aug Seattle S Chicago Fire 2 2 2.90 2.35
L 26 Aug Monterrey(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 2 1 2.72 2.45
D 23 Aug New Y Chicago Fire 1 1 2.37 2.75
W 16 Aug Chicago Fire Portland 2 1 1.60 5.20
W 14 Aug Cruz Azul(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 1 2 2.55 3.05
W 10 Aug Chicago Fire Santos Laguna 3 1 1.55 5.50

Past meetings

Toronto FC
0·2·3
Chicago Fire
  • May 2026 Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto FC
  • Oct 2025 Chicago Fire 2 - 2 Toronto FC
  • Mar 2025 Toronto FC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
  • Sept 2024 Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Toronto FC
  • Jun 2024 Toronto FC 1 - 4 Chicago Fire

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 +34 62
2 Vancouver 29 +33 53
3 St. L 29 +12 49
4 FC Dallas 29 +8 49
5 Inter Miami 29 +14 48
6 New E 29 +9 48
7 San J 29 +10 47
8 Houston Dynamo 29 +2 46
9 Charlotte 29 +9 45
10 Los A 30 +13 43
11 Chicago Fire 28 +7 42
12 Philadelp 29 +10 41
13 Seattle S 29 0 40
14 Colorado Rapids 29 0 38
15 Los A 29 -6 38
16 Orlando City 28 -15 36
17 New York City 29 +5 35
18 FC Cincinnati 28 -9 35
19 New Y 29 -17 35
20 San Diego 29 0 34
21 Portland 29 -3 34
22 Real Salt Lake 29 -4 34
23 Austin 29 -12 33
24 DC United 28 -8 32
25 Minnesota 29 -9 31
26 Toronto FC 29 -12 31
27 Atlanta Utd 29 -13 29
28 Columbus Crew 28 -5 28
29 CF Montreal 29 -20 26
30 Sporting 29 -33 23