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Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Toluca €92.50m
Full time 2 : 3
Santos Laguna €42.80m
1 1.23
X 7.40
2 12.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @4.50 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 43%@1.23
Draw 36%@7.40
Santos Laguna 21%@12.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@6.91
Under 3.5 78%@1.95
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.80
No 54%@2.00

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelSantos Laguna
2.29xG1.03
55%Ball possession45%
20Shots10
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
TolucaRealSantos Laguna
3.45xG1.85
46%Ball possession54%
24Shots22
9Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls2
9Fouls made13
TolucaReal · ModelSantos Laguna
3.452.29xG1.851.03
46%55%Ball possession54%45%
2420Shots2210
96Shots on goal64
66Corner kicks75
12Yellow cards12
32Offside calls22
913Fouls made1311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameSantos Laguna
1.9Goals for / game0.7
0.3Goals against / game1.5
58%Ball possession48%
15.4Shots per game11.6
4.8Corners per game6.8
1.97Expected goals1.08

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateSantos Laguna
70%Wins20%
60%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca LDWWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
Santos Laguna WWLDL
W 27 Sept Santos Laguna Pachuca 1 0 2.85 2.67
W 14 Sept Santos Laguna Juarez 2 1 2.06 3.55
L 7 Sept Cruz Azul Santos Laguna 1 0 1.39 7.30
D 30 Aug Santos Laguna Tigres UANL 0 0 4.60 1.83
L 23 Aug Puebla Santos Laguna 3 2 2.12 3.30
L 17 Aug Santos Laguna Guadalaja 0 1 5.90 1.57
W 14 Aug Philadelp(Usa) Santos Laguna(Mex) 0 2 1.75 4.90
L 10 Aug Chicago Fire Santos Laguna 3 1 1.55 5.50
L 7 Aug New York City Santos Laguna 2 0 1.74 4.80
L 3 Aug Club America Santos Laguna 3 0 1.35 8.00

Past meetings

Toluca
4·0·1
Santos Laguna
  • Jan 2026 Toluca 3 - 1 Santos Laguna
  • Jul 2025 Santos Laguna 2 - 4 Toluca
  • Apr 2025 Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna
  • Sept 2024 Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Toluca
  • Feb 2024 Toluca 1 - 0 Santos Laguna

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
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