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Toluca vs Monterrey prediction — Leagues Cup

Leagues Cup · World
Toluca(Mex) €92.50m
Full time 2 : 0
Monterrey(Mex) €74.43m
1 2.07
X 3.65
2 3.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 73%@2.07
Draw 13%@3.65
Monterrey 14%@3.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 77%@1.20
Under 1.5 23%@4.02
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.56
No 54%@2.55
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 64%@1.55
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelMonterrey
2.22xG1.38
52%Ball possession48%
21Shots14
10Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made11
TolucaRealMonterrey
2.29xG0.95
48%Ball possession52%
8Shots12
5Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks14
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
19Fouls made14
TolucaReal · ModelMonterrey
2.292.22xG0.951.38
48%52%Ball possession52%48%
821Shots1214
510Shots on goal26
26Corner kicks145
32Yellow cards22
12Offside calls22
1912Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameMonterrey
1.8Goals for / game1.9
0.6Goals against / game1.4
62%Ball possession55%
20.9Shots per game14.9
5.8Corners per game5.6
2.02Expected goals1.51

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateMonterrey
60%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.580%
30%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca(Mex) LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
Monterrey(Mex) WLWDD
W 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
L 26 Sept Atlante Monterrey 4 2 3.00 2.42
W 20 Sept Monterrey Cruz Azul 1 0 2.27 3.00
D 13 Sept Monterrey Tigres UANL 0 0 2.18 3.40
D 3 Sept Club America(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 2 2.16 3.45
L 31 Aug Monterrey Atl. San Luis 1 3 1.87 5.10
W 26 Aug Monterrey(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 2 1 2.72 2.45
L 22 Aug Leon Monterrey 1 0 3.00 2.27
W 16 Aug Monterrey Juarez 6 1 1.62 5.50
W 13 Aug Monterrey Nashville SC 2 1 2.02 3.45

Past meetings

Toluca(Mex)
4·0·2
Monterrey(Mex)
  • Oct 2026 Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca
  • Jan 2026 Monterrey 0 - 1 Toluca
  • Dec 2025 Toluca 3 - 2 Monterrey
  • Dec 2025 Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca
  • Sept 2025 Toluca 6 - 2 Monterrey
  • May 2025 Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 6 +10 15
2 Leon 6 +5 15
3 Club America 6 +5 11
4 Monterrey 6 0 10
5 Chicago Fire 4 +4 9
6 Real Salt Lake 4 +4 7
7 Austin 4 +3 7
8 Columbus Crew 4 +1 7
9 Charlotte 2 +5 6
10 Portland 3 +3 6
11 FC Cincinnati 3 +3 6
12 Cruz Azul 3 +1 6
13 FC Dallas 3 +1 6
14 Juarez 3 0 6
15 San Diego 3 0 6
16 Los A 3 +1 5
17 Minnesota 3 +1 4
18 Orlando City 3 0 4
19 Guadalaja 3 0 4
20 Nashville SC 3 +1 3
21 Inter Miami 3 0 3
22 New York City 3 0 3
23 Tigres UANL 3 0 3
24 Seattle S 3 -1 3
25 Philadelp 3 -1 3
26 Santos Laguna 3 -2 3
27 Atlas 3 -3 3
28 Necaxa 3 -3 3
29 Atlante 3 -5 3
30 Vancouver 3 -3 1
31 Atl. San Luis 3 -5 1
32 Queretaro 3 -5 1
33 UNAM Pumas 3 -5 1
34 Pachuca 2 -3 0
35 Club Tijuana 3 -5 0
36 Puebla 3 -7 0
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