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Toluca vs Leon prediction — Leagues Cup

Leagues Cup · World
1 1.73
X 3.90
2 4.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.21 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 60%@1.73
Draw 22%@3.90
Leon 18%@4.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 24%@4.81
Under 3.5 76%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.65
No 55%@2.25
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 69%@1.33
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelLeon
2.04xG0.99
58%Ball possession42%
22Shots11
11Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made11
TolucaRealLeon
3.90xG0.66
56%Ball possession44%
21Shots11
7Shots on goal1
4Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards5
2Offside calls0
15Fouls made15
TolucaReal · ModelLeon
3.902.04xG0.660.99
56%58%Ball possession44%42%
2122Shots1111
711Shots on goal17
47Corner kicks54
31Yellow cards52
22Offside calls01
1511Fouls made1511

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameLeon
1.7Goals for / game1.6
0.8Goals against / game0.9
63%Ball possession47%
20.4Shots per game13.4
6.3Corners per game4.9
1.75Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateLeon
50%Wins70%
70%Over 1.560%
60%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca(Mex) LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
Leon(Mex) WDWLW
W 28 Sept Leon Juarez 2 1 1.57 6.90
D 21 Sept Queretaro Leon 1 1 2.72 2.65
W 15 Sept Leon Atl. San Luis 2 0 1.83 4.15
L 11 Sept UNAM Pumas Leon 3 1 2.20 3.30
W 6 Sept Leon(Mex) Club America(Mex) 1 0 3.30 2.15
D 29 Aug Atlante Leon 1 1 2.57 2.65
W 26 Aug Leon(Mex) Real Salt Lake(Usa) 3 0 2.95 2.50
W 22 Aug Leon Monterrey 1 0 3.00 2.27
W 18 Aug Necaxa Leon 1 2 2.72 2.70
W 13 Aug Inter Miami Leon 2 3 1.91 3.85

Past meetings

Toluca(Mex)
3·2·0
Leon(Mex)
  • Apr 2026 Toluca 4 - 1 Leon
  • Oct 2025 Leon 2 - 4 Toluca
  • Feb 2025 Leon 3 - 3 Toluca
  • Nov 2024 Toluca 2 - 2 Leon
  • Feb 2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Leon

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 6 +10 15
2 Leon 6 +5 15
3 Club America 6 +5 11
4 Monterrey 6 0 10
5 Chicago Fire 4 +4 9
6 Real Salt Lake 4 +4 7
7 Austin 4 +3 7
8 Columbus Crew 4 +1 7
9 Charlotte 2 +5 6
10 Portland 3 +3 6
11 FC Cincinnati 3 +3 6
12 Cruz Azul 3 +1 6
13 FC Dallas 3 +1 6
14 Juarez 3 0 6
15 San Diego 3 0 6
16 Los A 3 +1 5
17 Minnesota 3 +1 4
18 Orlando City 3 0 4
19 Guadalaja 3 0 4
20 Nashville SC 3 +1 3
21 Inter Miami 3 0 3
22 New York City 3 0 3
23 Tigres UANL 3 0 3
24 Seattle S 3 -1 3
25 Philadelp 3 -1 3
26 Santos Laguna 3 -2 3
27 Atlas 3 -3 3
28 Necaxa 3 -3 3
29 Atlante 3 -5 3
30 Vancouver 3 -3 1
31 Atl. San Luis 3 -5 1
32 Queretaro 3 -5 1
33 UNAM Pumas 3 -5 1
34 Pachuca 2 -3 0
35 Club Tijuana 3 -5 0
36 Puebla 3 -7 0