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Toluca vs Juarez prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 1.38
X 5.80
2 9.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
92%Chance
Toluca win 1 Odds @1.38 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 92%@1.38
Draw 5%@5.80
Juarez 3%@9.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.46
Under 2.5 29%@3.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.75
No 45%@2.15
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 66%@1.65
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelJuarez
1.94xG0.84
62%Ball possession38%
22Shots7
10Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
TolucaRealJuarez
2.93xG0.16
65%Ball possession35%
25Shots6
9Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
11Fouls made8
TolucaReal · ModelJuarez
2.931.94xG0.160.84
65%62%Ball possession35%38%
2522Shots67
910Shots on goal22
57Corner kicks32
11Yellow cards13
12Offside calls01
1111Fouls made812

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameJuarez
1.5Goals for / game1.2
0.8Goals against / game2.2
63%Ball possession42%
19.4Shots per game8.9
6.0Corners per game2.6
1.65Expected goals0.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateJuarez
50%Wins30%
70%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
Juarez LWLLL
L 28 Sept Leon Juarez 2 1 1.57 6.90
W 19 Sept Juarez Tigres UANL 2 0 4.20 1.91
L 14 Sept Santos Laguna Juarez 2 1 2.06 3.55
L 5 Sept Juarez Pachuca 0 2 3.70 2.04
L 22 Aug Juarez Club America 1 2 5.30 1.71
L 16 Aug Monterrey Juarez 6 1 1.62 5.50
L 12 Aug Real Salt Lake Juarez 3 0 1.82 4.70
W 8 Aug Vancouver Juarez 1 3 1.37 7.50
W 5 Aug Minnesota Juarez 1 2 1.78 4.40
L 1 Aug Juarez UNAM Pumas 1 5 2.57 2.60

Past meetings

Toluca
5·1·0
Juarez
  • Mar 2026 Toluca 3 - 1 Juarez
  • Nov 2025 Toluca 0 - 0 Juarez
  • Nov 2025 Juarez 1 - 2 Toluca
  • Aug 2025 Juarez 0 - 2 Toluca
  • Feb 2025 Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca
  • Jul 2024 Toluca 3 - 2 Juarez

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4