Toluca vs Cruz Azul prediction — Campeón de Campeones

Campeón de Campeones · Mexico

Toluca €87.00m

Full time 1 : 3

Cruz Azul €83.60m

1 2.75

X 3.65

2 2.45

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓

74%Chance

Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.25 High chance

Full-time result1X2 · win %

Toluca 57%@2.75

Draw 17%@3.65

Cruz Azul 26%@2.45

Goals lineOver/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 74%@1.25

Under 1.5 26%@3.56

Both teams to scoreBTTS

Yes 60%@1.63

No 40%@2.22

Bet Builder

X2 & Under 5.5 55%@1.59

Half-time 0:0 Model

Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelCruz Azul

1.39xG1.71

52%Ball possession48%

16Shots18

8Shots on goal9

5Corner kicks6

2Yellow cards2

1Offside calls2

11Fouls made11

TolucaRealCruz Azul

1.90xG1.37

57%Ball possession43%

23Shots12

4Shots on goal7

5Corner kicks4

0Yellow cards2

1Offside calls2

11Fouls made15

TolucaReal · ModelCruz Azul

1.901.39xG1.371.71

57%52%Ball possession43%48%

2316Shots1218

48Shots on goal79

55Corner kicks46

02Yellow cards22

11Offside calls22

1111Fouls made1511

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameCruz Azul

1.6Goals for / game2.2

1.3Goals against / game1.3

60%Ball possession51%

16.8Shots per game16.1

5.0Corners per game5.9

1.35Expected goals1.41

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateCruz Azul

30%Wins70%

80%Over 1.580%

50%Over 2.580%

50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca LDLWW

L 4 Oct

Monterrey(Mex)

Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –

D 26 Sept

Cruz Azul

Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60

L 21 Sept

Toluca

Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50

W 16 Sept

Puebla

Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57

W 13 Sept

Toluca

Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75

W 7 Sept

Toluca(Mex)

Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50

W 3 Sept

Toluca(Mex)

Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70

W 31 Aug

Toluca

Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50

W 27 Aug

Toluca(Mex)

Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50

D 22 Aug

Queretaro

Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95

Cruz Azul DLLWW

D 26 Sept

Cruz Azul

Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60

L 20 Sept

Monterrey

Cruz Azul 1 0 2.27 3.00

L 17 Sept

Inter Miami(Usa)

Cruz Azul(Mex) 2 0 2.25 2.87

W 13 Sept

Cruz Azul

Club America 4 3 2.77 2.50

W 7 Sept

Cruz Azul

Santos Laguna 1 0 1.39 7.30

W 29 Aug

Necaxa

Cruz Azul 1 3 3.70 1.97

L 23 Aug

Cruz Azul

Atlas 0 2 1.65 5.70

L 17 Aug

Club Tijuana

Cruz Azul 2 1 3.15 2.35

L 14 Aug

Cruz Azul(Mex)

Chicago Fire(Usa) 1 2 2.55 3.05

W 10 Aug

Cruz Azul

New York City 2 1 2.28 3.05

Past meetings

Toluca

0·4·2

Cruz Azul

Sept 2026 Cruz Azul 3 - 3 Toluca
Feb 2026 Toluca 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Aug 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Toluca
Apr 2025 Toluca 2 - 2 Cruz Azul
Jul 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Toluca
Apr 2024 Toluca 0 - 1 Cruz Azul

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