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Toluca vs Austin prediction — Leagues Cup

Leagues Cup · World
1 1.70
X 4.00
2 5.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.17 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 55%@1.70
Draw 26%@4.00
Austin 19%@5.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.97
Under 3.5 73%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.76
No 41%@2.07
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 65%@1.44
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelAustin
1.68xG0.90
56%Ball possession44%
20Shots9
9Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made10
TolucaRealAustin
2.57xG0.46
66%Ball possession34%
24Shots9
8Shots on goal0
6Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards2
6Offside calls0
16Fouls made12
TolucaReal · ModelAustin
2.571.68xG0.460.90
66%56%Ball possession34%44%
2420Shots99
89Shots on goal05
67Corner kicks84
31Yellow cards22
61Offside calls02
1611Fouls made1210

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameAustin
1.6Goals for / game1.7
1.1Goals against / game1.0
62%Ball possession52%
18.9Shots per game11.2
6.0Corners per game4.9
1.55Expected goals1.00

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateAustin
40%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca(Mex) LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
Austin(Usa) DDWDD
D 27 Sept Austin San Diego 3 3 2.75 2.55
D 20 Sept FC Dallas Austin 0 0 1.72 4.65
W 13 Sept Vancouver Austin 1 2 1.30 10.00
D 10 Sept Austin Colorado Rapids 1 1 2.60 2.90
D 6 Sept Austin San J 1 1 2.40 2.85
W 30 Aug Portland Austin 1 2 1.80 4.70
D 23 Aug Austin Philadelp 1 1 4.30 1.80
W 20 Aug Seattle S Austin 1 2 1.63 5.70
L 17 Aug Austin FC Dallas 1 2 2.95 2.40
D 14 Aug Club America(Mex) Austin(Usa) 1 1 2.02 4.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 6 +10 15
2 Leon 6 +5 15
3 Club America 6 +5 11
4 Monterrey 6 0 10
5 Chicago Fire 4 +4 9
6 Real Salt Lake 4 +4 7
7 Austin 4 +3 7
8 Columbus Crew 4 +1 7
9 Charlotte 2 +5 6
10 Portland 3 +3 6
11 FC Cincinnati 3 +3 6
12 Cruz Azul 3 +1 6
13 FC Dallas 3 +1 6
14 Juarez 3 0 6
15 San Diego 3 0 6
16 Los A 3 +1 5
17 Minnesota 3 +1 4
18 Orlando City 3 0 4
19 Guadalaja 3 0 4
20 Nashville SC 3 +1 3
21 Inter Miami 3 0 3
22 New York City 3 0 3
23 Tigres UANL 3 0 3
24 Seattle S 3 -1 3
25 Philadelp 3 -1 3
26 Santos Laguna 3 -2 3
27 Atlas 3 -3 3
28 Necaxa 3 -3 3
29 Atlante 3 -5 3
30 Vancouver 3 -3 1
31 Atl. San Luis 3 -5 1
32 Queretaro 3 -5 1
33 UNAM Pumas 3 -5 1
34 Pachuca 2 -3 0
35 Club Tijuana 3 -5 0
36 Puebla 3 -7 0