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Toluca vs Atlas prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Toluca €92.50m
Full time 5 : 1
Atlas €38.20m
1 1.42
X 5.00
2 8.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @3.00 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 43%@1.42
Draw 36%@5.00
Atlas 21%@8.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 21%@5.79
Under 3.5 79%@1.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 25%@1.83
No 75%@1.91

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TolucaModelAtlas
2.57xG0.95
53%Ball possession47%
21Shots10
11Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
TolucaRealAtlas
2.12xG0.94
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots10
6Shots on goal2
6Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards3
3Offside calls0
11Fouls made13
TolucaReal · ModelAtlas
2.122.57xG0.940.95
54%53%Ball possession46%47%
1421Shots1010
611Shots on goal24
66Corner kicks73
12Yellow cards32
32Offside calls01
1113Fouls made1313

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TolucaPer gameAtlas
1.9Goals for / game1.3
0.3Goals against / game1.5
61%Ball possession53%
19.4Shots per game11.1
5.5Corners per game4.0
2.06Expected goals1.06

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TolucaRateAtlas
70%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.550%
20%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Toluca LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
Atlas WDDLW
W 26 Sept Club Tijuana Atlas 2 3 2.17 3.65
D 20 Sept Atlas UNAM Pumas 1 1 2.42 2.95
D 6 Sept Atlas Atlante 1 1 1.95 4.05
L 30 Aug Atlas Queretaro 1 3 2.15 3.55
W 23 Aug Cruz Azul Atlas 0 2 1.65 5.70
W 16 Aug Atlas Tigres UANL 2 1 3.20 2.32
W 12 Aug FC Cincinnati Atlas 1 2 1.44 7.00
L 8 Aug Charlotte Atlas 2 0 2.22 3.55
L 5 Aug Columbus Crew Atlas 3 1 2.02 4.20
L 2 Aug Atlas Monterrey 0 2 2.63 2.77

Past meetings

Toluca
3·2·0
Atlas
  • Mar 2026 Toluca 1 - 1 Atlas
  • Nov 2025 Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca
  • Apr 2025 Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca
  • Sept 2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas
  • Apr 2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
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