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Tampa Bay vs Louisville City prediction — USL League One Cup

1 2.63
X 3.40
2 2.67

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Both teams to score BTTS Odds @1.62 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tampa Bay 57%@2.63
Draw 19%@3.40
Louisville City 24%@2.67
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.75
Under 2.5 23%@5.86
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.62
No 31%@2.17
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.68
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Tampa BayModelLouisville City
2.12xG1.21
55%Ball possession45%
18Shots12
8Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
16Fouls made12
Tampa BayRealLouisville City
0.74xG0.31
45%Ball possession55%
13Shots7
3Shots on goal0
7Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards3
0Offside calls3
7Fouls made7
Tampa BayReal · ModelLouisville City
0.742.12xG0.311.21
45%55%Ball possession55%45%
1318Shots712
38Shots on goal06
75Corner kicks64
12Yellow cards32
01Offside calls32
716Fouls made712

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Tampa BayPer gameLouisville City
2.1Goals for / game1.8
1.4Goals against / game1.4
53%Ball possession45%
16.0Shots per game15.1
4.5Corners per game4.9
2.09Expected goals1.54

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Tampa BayRateLouisville City
60%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tampa Bay LDWLW
L 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
W 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30
Louisville City WDWLD
W 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75

Past meetings

Tampa Bay
3·0·3
Louisville City
  • Aug 2026 Tampa Bay 5 - 4 Louisville City
  • May 2026 Louisville City 0 - 2 Tampa Bay
  • Jun 2025 Louisville City 2 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Apr 2025 Tampa Bay 1 - 2 Louisville City
  • Oct 2024 Louisville City 2 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Jun 2024 Tampa Bay 3 - 2 Louisville City