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Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W prediction — USL Super League

1 2.75
X 3.40
2 2.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.40 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tampa Bay Sun W 18%@2.75
Draw 15%@3.40
Lexington W 67%@2.35
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.92
Under 3.5 89%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.72
No 56%@2.05
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 75%@1.63
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Tampa Bay Sun WModelLexington W
1.20xG1.46
45%Ball possession55%
12Shots12
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
13Fouls made9
Tampa Bay Sun WRealLexington W
1.72xG0.48
45%Ball possession55%
16Shots5
5Shots on goal1
4Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards2
0Offside calls0
14Fouls made11
Tampa Bay Sun WReal · ModelLexington W
1.721.20xG0.481.46
45%45%Ball possession55%55%
1612Shots512
54Shots on goal14
45Corner kicks34
02Yellow cards22
03Offside calls03
1413Fouls made119

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Tampa Bay Sun WPer gameLexington W
1.1Goals for / game1.7
1.7Goals against / game0.5
44%Ball possession55%
11.7Shots per game12.6
4.2Corners per game3.6
1.14Expected goals1.59

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Tampa Bay Sun WRateLexington W
30%Wins70%
90%Over 1.560%
60%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tampa Bay Sun W DWWLD
D 19 Sept DC Power W Tampa Bay Sun W 1 1 1.83 4.05
W 12 Sept Tampa Bay Sun W Fort L 2 1 1.70 4.90
W 30 Aug Carolina A Tampa Bay Sun W 1 2 1.62 5.10
L 23 Aug Sporting Jax W Tampa Bay Sun W 3 2 1.52 5.80
D 16 Aug Dallas T Tampa Bay Sun W 1 1 2.05 3.95
L 16 May Lexington W Tampa Bay Sun W 1 0 1.65 4.70
L 10 May Tampa Bay Sun W Dallas T 0 2 2.55 2.57
W 3 May Fort L Tampa Bay Sun W 1 2 3.50 2.05
L 26 Apr Tampa Bay Sun W Carolina A 1 2 3.25 2.25
L 18 Apr Lexington W Tampa Bay Sun W 4 0 1.74 4.45
Lexington W WWLLW
W 26 Sept Lexington W Dallas T 3 0 1.98 3.95
W 20 Sept Sporting Jax W Lexington W 0 1 2.25 3.05
L 12 Sept Lexington W Carolina A 0 1 2.70 2.50
L 29 Aug Lexington W DC Power W 1 2 1.95 4.30
W 16 Aug Lexington W Brooklyn W 3 0 1.57 5.40
W 31 May Lexington W Carolina A 3 1 2.25 3.25
W 24 May Lexington W Dallas T 2 0 1.63 5.00
W 16 May Lexington W Tampa Bay Sun W 1 0 1.65 4.70
W 10 May Lexington W Brooklyn W 3 1 1.69 5.80
D 3 May Spokane Z Lexington W 0 0 4.15 1.87

Past meetings

Tampa Bay Sun W
2·1·2
Lexington W
  • May 2026 Lexington W 1 - 0 Tampa Bay Sun W
  • Apr 2026 Lexington W 4 - 0 Tampa Bay Sun W
  • Nov 2025 Tampa Bay Sun W 1 - 1 Lexington W
  • May 2025 Lexington W 0 - 3 Tampa Bay Sun W
  • Apr 2025 Tampa Bay Sun W 4 - 1 Lexington W

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Carolina A 9 +7 18
2 Sporting Jax W 9 +2 13
3 DC Power W 9 +2 13
4 Lexington W 7 +5 11
5 Dallas T 8 -2 11
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 7 +1 10
7 Brooklyn W 8 -8 7
8 Fort L 9 -7 5