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Sydney vs Melbourne prediction — Australia Cup

Australia Cup · Australia
Sydney €8.15m
Full time 0 : 2
Melbourne €7.00m
1 2.65
X 3.60
2 2.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
64%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.55 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sydney 50%@2.65
Draw 21%@3.60
Melbourne 29%@2.55
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@3.08
Under 3.5 68%@1.45
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.60
No 41%@2.27
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 61%@1.89
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SydneyModelMelbourne
1.87xG1.52
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots14
8Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
3Offside calls2
11Fouls made13
SydneyRealMelbourne
1.05xG0.78
76%Ball possession24%
9Shots12
0Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
6Fouls made10
SydneyReal · ModelMelbourne
1.051.87xG0.781.52
76%51%Ball possession24%49%
914Shots1214
08Shots on goal36
54Corner kicks46
22Yellow cards21
33Offside calls12
611Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SydneyPer gameMelbourne
1.6Goals for / game2.0
0.9Goals against / game0.9
55%Ball possession51%
12.6Shots per game16.7
3.8Corners per game6.6
1.62Expected goals1.73

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SydneyRateMelbourne
40%Wins50%
60%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sydney WWDWL
W 18 Aug SD Raiders Sydney 0 1 7.90 1.33
W 9 Aug Brisbane Roar Sydney 2 4 3.15 2.28
D 29 Jul Tottenham Sydney 1 1 1.34 7.60
W 21 Jul Bayswater Sydney 1 5 10.50 1.30
L 23 May Auckland Sydney 1 0 2.52 3.20
D 16 May Newcastle Jets Sydney 1 1 2.32 3.05
D 9 May Sydney Newcastle Jets 1 1 2.32 3.05
W 2 May Melbourne Sydney 0 1 1.97 4.10
D 26 Apr Sydney Auckland 2 2 2.72 2.65
D 18 Apr Sydney Perth Glory 0 0 1.70 5.10
Melbourne DWDWL
D 16 Sept Viettel(Vie) Melbourne(Aus) 1 1 4.40 1.70
W 19 Aug APIA Leichhardt Melbourne 0 1 4.15 1.76
D 8 Aug WS Wanderers Melbourne 1 1 2.72 2.37
W 26 Jul Kingborou Melbourne 0 4 50.00 1.03
L 2 May Melbourne Sydney 0 1 1.97 4.10
W 25 Apr WS Wanderers Melbourne 0 2 3.80 1.95
D 17 Apr Melbourne Newcastle Jets 2 2 2.27 3.25
D 11 Apr Auckland Melbourne 2 2 2.37 3.15
L 5 Apr Melbourne Wellingto 0 1 1.53 6.20
W 21 Mar Melbourne Central C 4 1 1.45 7.70

Past meetings

Sydney
3·1·2
Melbourne
  • May 2026 Melbourne 0 - 1 Sydney
  • Mar 2026 Sydney 2 - 2 Melbourne
  • Jan 2026 Melbourne 4 - 0 Sydney
  • Nov 2025 Sydney 3 - 0 Melbourne
  • Jan 2025 Melbourne 2 - 0 Sydney
  • Dec 2024 Sydney 3 - 0 Melbourne

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Melbourne 5 +7 11
2 South Melbourne 5 +4 11
3 Sydney 4 +5 9
4 Lions 4 +4 7
5 Preston Lions 3 +3 6
6 Macarthur 2 +3 4
7 Heidelberg Utd 2 +3 4
8 WS Wanderers 2 +2 4
9 Fremantle City 2 +1 4
10 APIA Leichhardt 3 0 4
11 SD Raiders 3 0 4
12 North S 3 -3 4
13 Brisbane Roar 2 +1 3
14 Brunswick J 2 +1 3
15 Melbourne City 2 +1 3
16 Sydney Utd 2 0 2
17 Central C 1 0 1
18 Perth Glory 1 0 1
19 FK Beograd 1 -1 0
20 Newcastle Jets 1 -1 0
21 Adelaide U 1 -1 0
22 Maitland 1 -1 0
23 Peninsula 1 -1 0
24 Rochedale 1 -1 0
25 Cooma T 1 -2 0
26 Cumberland Utd. 1 -3 0
27 Sydney Olympic 1 -3 0
28 Uni Azzurri 1 -3 0
29 Weston Bears 1 -3 0
30 Bayswater 1 -4 0
31 Kingborou 1 -4 0
32 Marlin Coast 1 -4 0
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day