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Swindon vs Newport prediction — EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy · England
Swindon €4.38m
Full time 0 : 2
Newport €3.45m
1 1.93
X 3.70
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.25 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Swindon 42%@1.93
Draw 28%@3.70
Newport 30%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 73%@1.25
Under 1.5 27%@3.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 65%@1.71
No 35%@2.15
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 59%@1.59
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SwindonModelNewport
1.38xG0.92
54%Ball possession46%
10Shots9
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
SwindonRealNewport
1.03xG2.61
60%Ball possession40%
12Shots14
1Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards0
0Offside calls3
14Fouls made12
SwindonReal · ModelNewport
1.031.38xG2.610.92
60%54%Ball possession40%46%
1210Shots149
14Shots on goal54
64Corner kicks24
22Yellow cards02
02Offside calls32
1410Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SwindonPer gameNewport
1.4Goals for / game1.4
1.6Goals against / game1.7
45%Ball possession39%
8.7Shots per game10.1
3.6Corners per game4.0
1.11Expected goals1.01

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SwindonRateNewport
40%Wins20%
70%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Swindon LDLLL
L 3 Oct Rochdale Swindon 1 0 2.25 2.95
D 26 Sept Swindon Accrington 1 1 2.20 3.15
L 19 Sept Salford Swindon 1 0 1.52 5.50
L 15 Sept Swindon Crystal P 1 2 2.05 3.90
L 12 Sept York Swindon 4 0 1.62 4.80
W 5 Sept Swindon Colchester 3 1 2.70 2.50
W 1 Sept Swindon Port Vale 3 1 3.20 2.15
L 29 Aug Oldham Swindon 3 0 1.91 4.20
W 22 Aug Swindon Cheltenham 1 0 2.00 4.00
D 15 Aug Northampton Swindon 0 0 2.15 3.25
Newport DWDDL
D 3 Oct Gillingham Newport 0 0 1.92 3.80
W 26 Sept Newport Grimsby 2 1 4.15 1.92
D 19 Sept Accrington Newport 0 0 2.18 3.30
D 12 Sept Newport Fleetwood 1 1 3.30 2.12
L 5 Sept Northampton Newport 1 0 1.78 4.55
L 1 Sept Salford Newport 2 1 1.50 6.60
D 29 Aug Newport Tranmere 2 2 2.72 2.70
L 22 Aug Bristol Rovers Newport 5 3 1.72 4.80
W 15 Aug Newport Rochdale 3 0 3.05 2.35
D 8 Aug AFC Wimbledon Newport 1 1 1.73 4.50

Past meetings

Swindon
4·0·1
Newport
  • Feb 2026 Swindon 2 - 0 Newport
  • Oct 2025 Newport 0 - 1 Swindon
  • Jan 2025 Newport 1 - 2 Swindon
  • Sept 2024 Swindon 4 - 0 Newport
  • Feb 2024 Newport 2 - 1 Swindon
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