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Sweden vs Romania prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 1.50
X 5.10
2 6.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.51 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sweden 63%@1.50
Draw 21%@5.10
Romania 16%@6.75
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.51
Under 2.5 23%@5.06
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 34%@1.67
No 66%@2.20
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 87%@1.31
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SwedenModelRomania
1.33xG1.16
50%Ball possession50%
12Shots10
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made14
SwedenRealRomania
0.73xG0.41
60%Ball possession40%
11Shots10
4Shots on goal1
3Corner kicks0
0Yellow cards5
3Offside calls2
6Fouls made17
SwedenReal · ModelRomania
0.731.33xG0.411.16
60%50%Ball possession40%50%
1112Shots1010
45Shots on goal14
34Corner kicks04
02Yellow cards52
32Offside calls21
611Fouls made1714

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SwedenPer gameRomania
1.8Goals for / game1.6
2.3Goals against / game1.5
45%Ball possession50%
10.6Shots per game12.1
3.3Corners per game4.3
1.08Expected goals1.55

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SwedenRateRomania
30%Wins40%
100%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.560%
90%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sweden DWLDL
D 2 Oct Bosnia H Sweden 1 1 2.77 2.52
W 28 Sept Sweden Poland 3 1 2.05 3.70
L 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
D 26 Jun Japan Sweden 1 1 2.30 3.55
L 20 Jun Netherlands Sweden 5 1 1.78 5.10
W 15 Jun Sweden Tunisia 5 1 1.91 5.00
D 4 Jun Sweden Greece 2 2 1.95 4.20
L 1 Jun Norway Sweden 3 1 1.72 4.75
W 31 Mar Sweden Poland 3 2 2.18 3.75
W 26 Mar Ukraine Sweden 1 3 3.40 2.35
Romania LLWDL
L 2 Oct Poland Romania 6 0 1.62 6.00
L 28 Sept Romania Bosnia H 2 4 2.63 3.05
W 6 Jun Romania Wales 2 1 2.54 3.20
D 2 Jun Georgia Romania 1 1 2.35 3.80
L 31 Mar Slovakia Romania 2 0 2.29 3.48
L 26 Mar Türkiye Romania 1 0 1.50 7.50
W 18 Nov Romania San Marino 7 1 1.03 100.00
L 15 Nov Bosnia H Romania 3 1 2.60 2.82
W 12 Oct Romania Austria 1 0 4.50 1.76
W 9 Oct Romania Moldova 2 1 1.30 10.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.