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Sweden vs Poland prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Sweden €425.80m
Full time 3 : 1
Poland €234.50m
1 2.05
X 3.80
2 3.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.22 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sweden 37%@2.05
Draw 43%@3.80
Poland 20%@3.70
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 89%@1.22
Under 1.5 11%@9.87
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.58
No 40%@2.35
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.55
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SwedenModelPoland
1.21xG0.98
48%Ball possession52%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made13
SwedenRealPoland
2.14xG0.91
53%Ball possession47%
12Shots18
6Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
8Fouls made9
SwedenReal · ModelPoland
2.141.21xG0.910.98
53%48%Ball possession47%52%
1212Shots1812
65Shots on goal74
44Corner kicks45
11Yellow cards32
02Offside calls12
810Fouls made913

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SwedenPer gamePoland
1.9Goals for / game1.6
2.0Goals against / game1.2
47%Ball possession52%
11.0Shots per game14.4
3.3Corners per game6.2
1.09Expected goals1.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SwedenRatePoland
40%Wins50%
100%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.550%
90%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sweden DWWLD
D 2 Oct Bosnia H Sweden 1 1 2.77 2.52
W 28 Sept Sweden Poland 3 1 2.05 3.70
W 25 Sept Sweden Romania 2 1 1.50 6.75
L 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
D 26 Jun Japan Sweden 1 1 2.30 3.55
L 20 Jun Netherlands Sweden 5 1 1.78 5.10
W 15 Jun Sweden Tunisia 5 1 1.91 5.00
D 4 Jun Sweden Greece 2 2 1.95 4.20
L 1 Jun Norway Sweden 3 1 1.72 4.75
W 26 Mar Ukraine Sweden 1 3 3.40 2.35
Poland WLDDL
W 2 Oct Poland Romania 6 0 1.62 6.00
L 28 Sept Sweden Poland 3 1 2.05 3.70
D 25 Sept Poland Bosnia H 0 0 1.62 6.00
D 3 Jun Poland Nigeria 2 2 2.02 4.35
L 31 May Poland Ukraine 0 2 2.00 4.30
W 26 Mar Poland Albania 2 1 1.67 6.50
W 17 Nov Malta Poland 2 3 11.75 1.34
D 14 Nov Poland Netherlands 1 1 4.35 1.88
W 12 Oct Lithuania Poland 0 2 8.75 1.36
W 9 Oct Poland New Zealand 1 0 1.47 7.00

Past meetings

Sweden
1·0·0
Poland
  • Sept 2026 Sweden 3 - 1 Poland
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