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Swansea vs Watford prediction — Championship

Championship · England
1 1.90
X 3.80
2 4.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.26 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Swansea 63%@1.90
Draw 20%@3.80
Watford 17%@4.25
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@4.05
Under 3.5 75%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.80
No 69%@2.00
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 72%@1.47
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SwanseaModelWatford
1.50xG1.22
55%Ball possession45%
14Shots14
6Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made11
SwanseaRealWatford
2.70xG0.82
60%Ball possession40%
18Shots9
8Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards4
1Offside calls4
6Fouls made14
SwanseaReal · ModelWatford
2.701.50xG0.821.22
60%55%Ball possession40%45%
1814Shots914
86Shots on goal36
56Corner kicks34
02Yellow cards42
12Offside calls42
610Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SwanseaPer gameWatford
1.3Goals for / game1.2
0.8Goals against / game1.7
63%Ball possession47%
14.6Shots per game17.8
6.6Corners per game4.0
1.39Expected goals1.67

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SwanseaRateWatford
50%Wins30%
60%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Swansea WWLDW
W 19 Sept Lincoln Swansea 1 2 3.05 2.45
W 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
L 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Swansea Wrexham 0 0 2.27 3.30
W 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Swansea Sheffield Utd 0 0 2.65 2.80
W 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
L 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
W 1 Aug Swansea Leganes 1 0 2.02 3.40
L 28 Jul Merthyr Town Swansea 3 0 – –
Watford LLWLD
L 18 Sept Bristol City Watford 1 0 1.80 4.60
L 12 Sept Watford Stoke 1 2 2.35 3.15
W 8 Sept Watford Preston 2 1 2.25 3.35
L 5 Sept West Brom Watford 1 0 1.80 4.65
D 29 Aug Watford West Ham 1 1 4.50 1.75
L 25 Aug Watford Peterborough 1 5 2.22 3.40
D 22 Aug Wrexham Watford 1 1 1.93 4.05
W 16 Aug Watford Southampton 2 1 3.70 2.00
W 8 Aug Watford Crawley 1 0 1.31 9.50
L 29 Jul Watford Fiorentina 0 1 3.00 2.30

Past meetings

Swansea
2·2·1
Watford
  • Jan 2026 Watford 0 - 2 Swansea
  • Aug 2025 Swansea 1 - 1 Watford
  • Mar 2025 Watford 1 - 0 Swansea
  • Nov 2024 Swansea 1 - 0 Watford
  • Mar 2024 Watford 1 - 1 Swansea

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6