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Swansea vs Burnley prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Swansea €112.62m
Full time 3 : 1
Burnley €147.80m
1 2.12
X 3.50
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.37 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Swansea 67%@2.12
Draw 17%@3.50
Burnley 16%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@11.08
Under 3.5 89%@1.37
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 27%@1.71
No 73%@2.10
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 75%@1.56
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SwanseaModelBurnley
1.52xG0.95
52%Ball possession48%
13Shots14
7Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made11
SwanseaRealBurnley
2.38xG1.72
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots18
7Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
4Offside calls4
7Fouls made7
SwanseaReal · ModelBurnley
2.381.52xG1.720.95
54%52%Ball possession46%48%
1413Shots1814
77Shots on goal65
45Corner kicks66
22Yellow cards12
42Offside calls41
710Fouls made711

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SwanseaPer gameBurnley
1.1Goals for / game1.0
0.8Goals against / game1.7
59%Ball possession55%
12.4Shots per game14.6
5.1Corners per game6.0
1.49Expected goals1.04

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SwanseaRateBurnley
50%Wins0%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.550%
20%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Swansea WLDWW
W 19 Sept Lincoln Swansea 1 2 3.05 2.45
L 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Swansea Wrexham 0 0 2.27 3.30
W 1 Sept Swansea Watford 2 0 1.90 4.25
W 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Swansea Sheffield Utd 0 0 2.65 2.80
W 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
L 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
W 1 Aug Swansea Leganes 1 0 2.02 3.40
L 28 Jul Merthyr Town Swansea 3 0 – –
Burnley DDLDL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
D 8 Sept Wrexham Burnley 1 1 2.12 3.60
L 5 Sept Burnley Bristol City 1 2 2.00 3.95
D 2 Sept Burnley Middlesbrough 1 1 3.20 2.23
L 29 Aug Norwich Burnley 4 1 2.07 3.60
D 26 Aug Bradford Burnley 0 0 3.50 2.23
L 23 Aug West Brom Burnley 3 1 2.63 2.87
D 16 Aug Burnley West Ham 2 2 3.05 2.37
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
L 2 Aug Burnley Torino 0 1 2.32 2.95

Past meetings

Swansea
0·0·2
Burnley
  • Mar 2025 Swansea 0 - 2 Burnley
  • Nov 2024 Burnley 1 - 0 Swansea

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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