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Stoke vs Swansea prediction — Championship

Championship · England
1 2.40
X 3.40
2 3.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
71%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.62 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Stoke 28%@2.40
Draw 20%@3.40
Swansea 52%@3.05
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@3.93
Under 3.5 75%@1.31
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.78
No 43%@1.97
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 63%@1.85
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

StokeModelSwansea
1.46xG1.40
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
11Fouls made10
StokeRealSwansea
0.69xG0.60
41%Ball possession59%
6Shots7
2Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made9
StokeReal · ModelSwansea
0.691.46xG0.601.40
41%49%Ball possession59%51%
612Shots712
25Shots on goal35
46Corner kicks54
12Yellow cards32
13Offside calls12
1411Fouls made910

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

StokePer gameSwansea
0.8Goals for / game1.2
1.4Goals against / game1.1
52%Ball possession56%
11.5Shots per game13.8
7.8Corners per game5.4
1.21Expected goals1.49

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

StokeRateSwansea
20%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
20%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Stoke WWDWW
W 19 Sept Stoke Sheffield Utd 2 1 2.35 3.15
W 12 Sept Watford Stoke 1 2 2.35 3.15
D 8 Sept Cardiff Stoke 1 1 2.10 3.40
W 5 Sept Stoke Charlton 4 0 2.05 4.10
W 1 Sept Stoke Norwich 1 0 3.45 2.15
L 29 Aug Wolves Stoke 4 1 1.70 5.40
D 25 Aug Stoke Hull 1 1 2.25 3.20
L 22 Aug Southampton Stoke 3 1 1.61 5.30
W 8 Aug Stoke Oldham 2 0 1.42 6.75
D 1 Aug Stoke Valencia 1 1 2.88 2.55
Swansea WWLDW
W 19 Sept Lincoln Swansea 1 2 3.05 2.45
W 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
L 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Swansea Wrexham 0 0 2.27 3.30
W 1 Sept Swansea Watford 2 0 1.90 4.25
W 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Swansea Sheffield Utd 0 0 2.65 2.80
L 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
W 1 Aug Swansea Leganes 1 0 2.02 3.40
L 28 Jul Merthyr Town Swansea 3 0 – –

Past meetings

Stoke
2·1·2
Swansea
  • Mar 2026 Swansea 2 - 0 Stoke
  • Dec 2025 Stoke 2 - 1 Swansea
  • Feb 2025 Stoke 3 - 1 Swansea
  • Oct 2024 Swansea 0 - 0 Stoke
  • Apr 2024 Swansea 3 - 0 Stoke

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6