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Stevenage vs Luton prediction — League One

League One · England
Stevenage €8.23m
Full time 2 : 1
Luton €25.60m
1 3.30
X 3.40
2 2.23

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.32 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Stevenage 22%@3.30
Draw 21%@3.40
Luton 57%@2.23
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 89%@1.32
Under 1.5 11%@10.68
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 81%@1.78
No 19%@2.04
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 60%@1.70
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

StevenageModelLuton
0.79xG1.73
47%Ball possession53%
10Shots13
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made10
StevenageRealLuton
1.28xG0.83
29%Ball possession71%
9Shots10
3Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks4
5Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
15Fouls made10
StevenageReal · ModelLuton
1.280.79xG0.831.73
29%47%Ball possession71%53%
910Shots1013
35Shots on goal27
24Corner kicks45
52Yellow cards22
12Offside calls02
1512Fouls made1010

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

StevenagePer gameLuton
1.3Goals for / game1.8
1.5Goals against / game1.6
46%Ball possession52%
10.4Shots per game12.9
4.1Corners per game5.3
0.85Expected goals1.70

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

StevenageRateLuton
40%Wins40%
70%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Stevenage WLWDD
W 22 Sept Walsall Stevenage 1 6 3.60 2.15
L 19 Sept Leyton Orient Stevenage 1 0 2.47 2.87
W 5 Sept Barnsley Stevenage 1 5 2.22 3.30
D 1 Sept Peterborough Stevenage 0 0 2.22 3.45
D 29 Aug Stevenage Doncaster 2 2 2.32 3.20
L 25 Aug Stevenage Reading 0 3 2.57 3.05
L 22 Aug Stevenage Oxford Utd 1 2 2.60 2.82
D 15 Aug Burton Stevenage 1 1 2.70 2.88
W 7 Aug Wycombe Stevenage 1 2 2.23 3.35
W 1 Aug Stevenage Colchester 1 0 1.70 4.55
Luton DWLDW
D 3 Oct Colchester Luton 1 1 4.20 1.70
W 22 Sept Luton Ipswich U21 6 0 1.25 9.00
L 19 Sept Luton Bradford 0 1 2.17 3.40
D 5 Sept Luton Leyton Orient 1 1 1.62 5.00
W 2 Sept Luton Stockport 2 0 2.70 2.45
L 30 Aug Mansfield Luton 5 2 3.05 2.25
L 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
D 22 Aug Luton Notts County 2 2 1.55 5.80
W 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
W 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68

Past meetings

Stevenage
1·0·1
Luton
  • Jan 2026 Luton 2 - 1 Stevenage
  • Oct 2025 Stevenage 2 - 0 Luton

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 +6 19
2 Huddersfield 10 +7 17
3 Bradford 9 +3 17
4 Sheffield Wed 8 +7 15
5 Stockport 9 +7 14
6 Oxford Utd 9 +6 14
7 Cambridge Utd 9 +2 14
8 Reading 9 +7 13
9 Burton 10 -1 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 -2 13
11 Leyton Orient 9 +1 11
12 Leicester 9 -2 11
13 Mansfield 10 -3 11
14 Stevenage 8 +3 10
15 Luton 9 -2 10
16 Wycombe 9 -4 10
17 Blackpool 8 0 9
18 Barnsley 8 -5 9
19 Bromley 8 -10 9
20 Doncaster 9 -1 8
21 Notts County 8 -2 8
22 MK Dons 8 -2 7
23 Wigan 10 -6 7
24 Peterborough 9 -9 6
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