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St. L vs Toronto FC prediction — Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer · USA
St. L €41.20m
Full time 3 : 1
Toronto FC €46.55m
1 1.78
X 4.10
2 4.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.50 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
St. L 57%@1.78
Draw 23%@4.10
Toronto FC 20%@4.75
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.50
Under 2.5 11%@12.14
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.52
No 37%@2.55
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.41
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

St. LModelToronto FC
1.85xG1.21
55%Ball possession45%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
15Fouls made10
St. LRealToronto FC
2.22xG0.59
61%Ball possession39%
17Shots10
8Shots on goal2
8Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
16Fouls made9
St. LReal · ModelToronto FC
2.221.85xG0.591.21
61%55%Ball possession39%45%
1712Shots1012
85Shots on goal24
85Corner kicks44
22Yellow cards22
12Offside calls02
1615Fouls made910

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

St. LPer gameToronto FC
2.3Goals for / game1.6
1.2Goals against / game1.7
54%Ball possession42%
12.3Shots per game13.0
4.5Corners per game4.3
1.73Expected goals1.26

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

St. LRateToronto FC
60%Wins30%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

St. L WWWDW
W 1 Oct New Y St. L 0 3 3.90 1.86
W 17 Sept Colorado Rapids St. L 0 3 2.30 3.20
W 13 Sept St. L Minnesota 4 2 2.05 3.40
D 10 Sept Portland St. L 2 2 2.45 2.65
W 6 Sept Vancouver St. L 1 3 1.52 6.10
D 31 Aug St. L FC Dallas 3 3 2.22 3.40
W 23 Aug St. L Houston Dynamo 2 1 2.25 3.35
D 20 Aug Sporting St. L 1 1 4.00 1.86
W 16 Aug San J St. L 1 3 2.15 3.10
D 2 Aug St. L Real Salt Lake 1 1 1.96 3.55
Toronto FC LLWDD
L 27 Sept Nashville SC Toronto FC 2 0 1.40 8.50
L 13 Sept Orlando City Toronto FC 3 0 2.48 3.85
W 10 Sept Toronto FC Nashville SC 2 1 3.50 2.05
D 6 Sept Toronto FC Chicago Fire 4 4 2.88 2.42
D 30 Aug Toronto FC New York City 1 1 2.57 2.65
W 23 Aug Inter Miami Toronto FC 1 2 1.39 7.30
D 20 Aug Toronto FC Charlotte 3 3 2.37 2.88
W 16 Aug Toronto FC New E 2 1 2.25 3.35
D 1 Aug New York City Toronto FC 1 1 1.74 5.00
L 26 Jul DC United Toronto FC 2 1 2.08 3.50

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 +34 62
2 Vancouver 29 +33 53
3 St. L 29 +12 49
4 FC Dallas 29 +8 49
5 Inter Miami 29 +14 48
6 New E 29 +9 48
7 San J 29 +10 47
8 Houston Dynamo 29 +2 46
9 Charlotte 29 +9 45
10 Los A 30 +13 43
11 Chicago Fire 28 +7 42
12 Philadelp 29 +10 41
13 Seattle S 29 0 40
14 Colorado Rapids 29 0 38
15 Los A 29 -6 38
16 Orlando City 28 -15 36
17 New York City 29 +5 35
18 FC Cincinnati 28 -9 35
19 New Y 29 -17 35
20 San Diego 29 0 34
21 Portland 29 -3 34
22 Real Salt Lake 29 -4 34
23 Austin 29 -12 33
24 DC United 28 -8 32
25 Minnesota 29 -9 31
26 Toronto FC 29 -12 31
27 Atlanta Utd 29 -13 29
28 Columbus Crew 28 -5 28
29 CF Montreal 29 -20 26
30 Sporting 29 -33 23
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