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Spain vs Belgium prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 1.72
X 4.00
2 5.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Spain win 1 Odds @1.72 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Spain 59%@1.72
Draw 24%@4.00
Belgium 17%@5.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.48
Under 3.5 70%@1.49
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.81
No 54%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 80%@1.29
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SpainModelBelgium
2.13xG1.79
55%Ball possession45%
18Shots17
8Shots on goal8
8Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
SpainRealBelgium
2.08xG0.37
68%Ball possession32%
17Shots5
8Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
13Fouls made18
SpainReal · ModelBelgium
2.082.13xG0.371.79
68%55%Ball possession32%45%
1718Shots517
88Shots on goal28
58Corner kicks15
21Yellow cards21
32Offside calls12
1310Fouls made1812

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SpainPer gameBelgium
1.8Goals for / game3.3
0.4Goals against / game0.8
66%Ball possession56%
17.4Shots per game19.1
7.2Corners per game6.3
2.01Expected goals2.11

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SpainRateBelgium
60%Wins70%
60%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Spain WWWWW
W 3 Oct Spain Czechia 3 1 1.09 31.00
W 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 19 Jul Spain Argentina 1 0 2.47 3.75
W 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 2 Jul Spain Austria 3 0 1.35 11.25
W 27 Jun Uruguay Spain 0 1 6.20 1.75
W 21 Jun Spain Saudi Arabia 4 0 1.14 30.00
D 15 Jun Spain Cape Verde 0 0 1.12 35.00
Belgium WLWWW
W 2 Oct Belgium Turkiye 3 0 1.52 6.30
L 28 Sept Belgium France 0 1 3.45 2.20
W 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
W 7 Jul USA Belgium 1 4 2.65 2.95
W 1 Jul Belgium Senegal 3 2 2.10 4.05
W 27 Jun New Zealand Belgium 1 5 14.00 1.22
D 21 Jun Belgium Iran 0 0 1.47 8.50
D 15 Jun Belgium Egypt 1 1 1.60 6.60
W 6 Jun Belgium Tunisia 5 0 1.39 9.50
W 2 Jun Croatia Belgium 0 2 2.77 2.70

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.