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Spain vs Argentina prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 2.47
X 3.05
2 3.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
69%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.27 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Spain 24%@2.47
Draw 19%@3.05
Argentina 57%@3.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 31%@2.83
Under 3.5 69%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.92
No 44%@1.97
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.49
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SpainModelArgentina
1.95xG1.91
51%Ball possession49%
16Shots14
7Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
11Fouls made13
SpainRealArgentina
65%Ball possession35%
20Shots2
12Shots on goal0
9Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards5
4Offside calls1
21Fouls made25
SpainReal · ModelArgentina
65%51%Ball possession35%49%
2016Shots214
127Shots on goal07
96Corner kicks44
01Yellow cards52
43Offside calls13
2111Fouls made2513

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SpainPer gameArgentina
1.7Goals for / game2.9
0.3Goals against / game0.7
64%Ball possession64%
16.7Shots per game15.6
6.7Corners per game5.1
1.99Expected goals2.13

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SpainRateArgentina
70%Wins100%
60%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.580%
30%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Spain WWWWW
W 3 Oct Spain Czechia 3 1 1.09 31.00
W 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 2 Jul Spain Austria 3 0 1.35 11.25
W 27 Jun Uruguay Spain 0 1 6.20 1.75
W 21 Jun Spain Saudi Arabia 4 0 1.14 30.00
D 15 Jun Spain Cape Verde 0 0 1.12 35.00
Argentina WWWWW
W 4 Oct Argentina Burkina Faso 7 0 1.02 70.00
W 1 Oct Argentina Bolivia 4 0 1.09 35.00
W 15 Jul England Argentina 1 2 2.82 3.15
W 12 Jul Argentina Switzerland 3 1 1.78 6.00
W 7 Jul Argentina Egypt 3 2 1.38 11.50
W 3 Jul Argentina Cape Verde 3 2 1.18 23.00
W 28 Jun Jordan Argentina 1 3 21.00 1.18
W 22 Jun Argentina Austria 2 0 1.52 7.70
W 17 Jun Argentina Algeria 3 0 1.60 8.00
W 10 Jun Argentina Iceland 3 0 1.23 18.50

Past meetings

Spain
0·1·0
Argentina
  • Mar 2026 Spain 0 - 0 Argentina