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Southampton vs Swansea prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Southampton €148.30m
Full time 3 : 1
Swansea €112.62m
1 1.88
X 3.75
2 4.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
74%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.25 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Southampton 48%@1.88
Draw 28%@3.75
Swansea 24%@4.25
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 74%@1.25
Under 1.5 26%@3.56
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.67
No 37%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.54
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SouthamptonModelSwansea
2.01xG1.39
51%Ball possession49%
18Shots11
7Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
8Fouls made9
SouthamptonRealSwansea
1.25xG1.08
48%Ball possession52%
15Shots10
4Shots on goal2
9Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards1
5Offside calls3
10Fouls made10
SouthamptonReal · ModelSwansea
1.252.01xG1.081.39
48%51%Ball possession52%49%
1518Shots1011
47Shots on goal27
96Corner kicks35
02Yellow cards12
52Offside calls32
108Fouls made109

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SouthamptonPer gameSwansea
2.0Goals for / game1.0
1.2Goals against / game0.5
62%Ball possession61%
17.3Shots per game12.8
5.4Corners per game5.5
1.83Expected goals1.56

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SouthamptonRateSwansea
60%Wins50%
90%Over 1.550%
60%Over 2.530%
80%BTTS10%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Southampton LWDDW
L 19 Sept Wrexham Southampton 2 1 2.90 2.42
W 12 Sept Southampton Bristol City 4 1 1.70 4.70
D 5 Sept Lincoln Southampton 1 1 4.25 1.82
D 1 Sept Birmingham Southampton 1 1 2.75 2.55
W 29 Aug Southampton Millwall 5 1 2.00 3.65
L 25 Aug Southampton West Ham 1 4 2.12 3.50
W 22 Aug Southampton Stoke 3 1 1.61 5.30
L 16 Aug Watford Southampton 2 1 3.70 2.00
W 8 Aug Colchester Southampton 0 2 9.50 1.29
W 1 Aug Preussen M Southampton 1 2 4.65 1.68
Swansea WWDWW
W 19 Sept Lincoln Swansea 1 2 3.05 2.45
W 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
D 5 Sept Swansea Wrexham 0 0 2.27 3.30
W 1 Sept Swansea Watford 2 0 1.90 4.25
W 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Swansea Sheffield Utd 0 0 2.65 2.80
W 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
L 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
W 1 Aug Swansea Leganes 1 0 2.02 3.40
L 28 Jul Merthyr Town Swansea 3 0 – –

Past meetings

Southampton
3·1·0
Swansea
  • Apr 2026 Swansea 1 - 2 Southampton
  • Oct 2025 Southampton 0 - 0 Swansea
  • Jan 2025 Southampton 3 - 0 Swansea
  • Jan 2024 Swansea 1 - 3 Southampton

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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