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South Melbourne vs Lions prediction — Australia Cup

Australia Cup · Australia
South Melbourne €225.00Th.
Full time 3 : 1
Lions €175.00Th.
1 1.90
X 3.60
2 3.85

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
70%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.44 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
South Melbourne 38%@1.90
Draw 43%@3.60
Lions 19%@3.85
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.36
Under 3.5 70%@1.44
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.66
No 41%@2.20
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.38
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

South MelbourneModelLions
49%Ball possession51%
15Shots13
5Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made11
South MelbourneRealLions
48%Ball possession52%
22Shots8
11Shots on goal3
12Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards1
2Offside calls0
11Fouls made7
South MelbourneReal · ModelLions
48%49%Ball possession52%51%
2215Shots813
115Shots on goal35
127Corner kicks35
02Yellow cards12
21Offside calls01
1114Fouls made711

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

South MelbournePer gameLions
1.8Goals for / game2.0
1.2Goals against / game0.3
55%Ball possession56%
14.9Shots per game16.0
7.4Corners per game6.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

South MelbourneRateLions
60%Wins90%
90%Over 1.550%
80%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

South Melbourne LWLWL
L 11 Sept Oakleigh C South Melbourne 2 1 2.22 3.25
W 6 Sept South Melbourne Heidelberg Utd 2 1 2.20 3.15
L 29 Aug Sunshine G South Melbourne 1 0 3.60 2.30
W 26 Aug Preston Lions South Melbourne 1 2 2.40 2.75
L 23 Aug South Melbourne Heidelberg Utd 1 2 2.65 2.37
W 15 Aug Melbourne II South Melbourne 0 3 7.30 1.48
D 9 Aug South Melbourne Fremantle City 3 3 1.17 12.50
W 2 Aug South Melbourne St Albans 2 0 1.67 4.90
W 30 Jul South Melbourne Adelaide U 2 1 3.50 2.00
W 24 Jul Oakleigh C South Melbourne 1 2 1.82 3.85
Lions WWWWW
W 12 Sept Lions Peninsula 1 0 1.72 4.20
W 30 Aug Lions Peninsula 4 1 1.76 3.85
W 25 Aug Lions North S 4 0 1.34 9.50
W 14 Aug Moreton C Lions 0 2 2.43 2.93
W 11 Aug Lions Melbourne City 2 0 3.65 1.90
W 7 Aug Lions Brisbane II 4 2 1.28 8.50
W 1 Aug Lions Peninsula 1 0 1.97 3.20
D 21 Jul Lions Perth Glory 0 0 3.30 2.00
W 18 Jul Gold Coast Utd Lions 0 1 7.50 1.31
W 12 Jul Lions Eastern Suburbs 1 0 1.50 4.60

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Melbourne 5 +7 11
2 South Melbourne 5 +4 11
3 Sydney 4 +5 9
4 Lions 4 +4 7
5 Preston Lions 3 +3 6
6 Macarthur 2 +3 4
7 Heidelberg Utd 2 +3 4
8 WS Wanderers 2 +2 4
9 Fremantle City 2 +1 4
10 APIA Leichhardt 3 0 4
11 SD Raiders 3 0 4
12 North S 3 -3 4
13 Brisbane Roar 2 +1 3
14 Brunswick J 2 +1 3
15 Melbourne City 2 +1 3
16 Sydney Utd 2 0 2
17 Central C 1 0 1
18 Perth Glory 1 0 1
19 FK Beograd 1 -1 0
20 Newcastle Jets 1 -1 0
21 Adelaide U 1 -1 0
22 Maitland 1 -1 0
23 Peninsula 1 -1 0
24 Rochedale 1 -1 0
25 Cooma T 1 -2 0
26 Cumberland Utd. 1 -3 0
27 Sydney Olympic 1 -3 0
28 Uni Azzurri 1 -3 0
29 Weston Bears 1 -3 0
30 Bayswater 1 -4 0
31 Kingborou 1 -4 0
32 Marlin Coast 1 -4 0
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day