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South Melbourne vs Adelaide U prediction — Australia Cup

Australia Cup · Australia
South Melbourne €25.00Th.
Full time 2 : 1
Adelaide U €8.88m
1 3.50
X 3.70
2 2.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
77%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.32 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
South Melbourne 21%@3.50
Draw 19%@3.70
Adelaide U 60%@2.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 66%@1.60
Under 2.5 34%@3.11
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 71%@1.53
No 29%@2.35
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 65%@1.51
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

South MelbourneModelAdelaide U
0.00xG1.96
50%Ball possession50%
11Shots18
4Shots on goal9
6Corner kicks7
0Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
0Fouls made9
South MelbourneRealAdelaide U
0.73xG0.56
49%Ball possession51%
13Shots9
5Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks0
0Yellow cards2
0Offside calls3
10Fouls made10
South MelbourneReal · ModelAdelaide U
0.730.00xG0.561.96
49%50%Ball possession51%50%
1311Shots918
54Shots on goal59
76Corner kicks07
00Yellow cards22
00Offside calls32
100Fouls made109

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

South MelbournePer gameAdelaide U
1.5Goals for / game1.9
1.4Goals against / game1.2
54%Ball possession54%
11.0Shots per game18.2
6.3Corners per game7.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

South MelbourneRateAdelaide U
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

South Melbourne WLWLW
W 15 Sept South Melbourne Lions 3 1 1.90 3.85
L 11 Sept Oakleigh C South Melbourne 2 1 2.22 3.25
W 6 Sept South Melbourne Heidelberg Utd 2 1 2.20 3.15
L 29 Aug Sunshine G South Melbourne 1 0 3.60 2.30
W 26 Aug Preston Lions South Melbourne 1 2 2.40 2.75
L 23 Aug South Melbourne Heidelberg Utd 1 2 2.65 2.37
W 15 Aug Melbourne II South Melbourne 0 3 7.30 1.48
D 9 Aug South Melbourne Fremantle City 3 3 1.17 12.50
W 2 Aug South Melbourne St Albans 2 0 1.67 4.90
W 24 Jul Oakleigh C South Melbourne 1 2 1.82 3.85
Adelaide U WLWLL
W 3 Oct Perth Glory(Aus) Adelaide U(Aus) 1 3 2.20 3.00
L 27 Sept Perth Glory(Aus) Adelaide U(Aus) 2 0 – –
W 17 Sept Adelaide U(Aus) Tai Po(Hkg) 3 0 1.26 10.50
L 11 Aug Adelaide U Cong An Ha Noi 0 2 1.76 4.00
L 15 May Adelaide U Auckland 0 3 2.30 3.35
D 9 May Auckland Adelaide U 1 1 2.10 3.60
W 26 Apr Melbourne City Adelaide U 1 2 2.17 3.35
W 19 Apr Adelaide U Macarthur 3 1 1.83 4.20
D 11 Apr Newcastle Jets Adelaide U 1 1 2.18 2.95
D 3 Apr Adelaide U Auckland 1 1 2.65 2.62

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Melbourne 5 +7 11
2 South Melbourne 5 +4 11
3 Sydney 4 +5 9
4 Lions 4 +4 7
5 Preston Lions 3 +3 6
6 Macarthur 2 +3 4
7 Heidelberg Utd 2 +3 4
8 WS Wanderers 2 +2 4
9 Fremantle City 2 +1 4
10 APIA Leichhardt 3 0 4
11 SD Raiders 3 0 4
12 North S 3 -3 4
13 Brisbane Roar 2 +1 3
14 Brunswick J 2 +1 3
15 Melbourne City 2 +1 3
16 Sydney Utd 2 0 2
17 Central C 1 0 1
18 Perth Glory 1 0 1
19 FK Beograd 1 -1 0
20 Newcastle Jets 1 -1 0
21 Adelaide U 1 -1 0
22 Maitland 1 -1 0
23 Peninsula 1 -1 0
24 Rochedale 1 -1 0
25 Cooma T 1 -2 0
26 Cumberland Utd. 1 -3 0
27 Sydney Olympic 1 -3 0
28 Uni Azzurri 1 -3 0
29 Weston Bears 1 -3 0
30 Bayswater 1 -4 0
31 Kingborou 1 -4 0
32 Marlin Coast 1 -4 0
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day