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Smiltene vs Riga Mariners prediction — 1. Liga

1. Liga · Latvia
1 15.00
X 7.90
2 1.09

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @4.90 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Smiltene 20%@15.00
Draw 37%@7.90
Riga Mariners 43%@1.09
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.19
Under 2.5 11%@9.63
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 78%@1.85
No 22%@1.85

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SmilteneModelRiga Mariners
48%Ball possession52%
9Shots13
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks7
SmilteneRealRiga Mariners
43%Ball possession57%
7Shots12
5Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks17
SmilteneReal · ModelRiga Mariners
43%48%Ball possession57%52%
79Shots1213
55Shots on goal67
34Corner kicks177

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SmiltenePer gameRiga Mariners
1.5Goals for / game2.9
3.3Goals against / game1.0
47%Ball possession52%
10.3Shots per game11.0
5.0Corners per game6.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SmilteneRateRiga Mariners
20%Wins70%
90%Over 1.5100%
90%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Smiltene WLLLL
W 19 Sept Super Nova 2 Smiltene 0 2 1.80 3.60
L 5 Sept JDFS Alberts Smiltene 3 2 1.16 10.25
L 29 Aug Smiltene Metta 0 6 – –
L 23 Aug Leevon PPK Smiltene 4 2 1.28 7.40
L 8 Aug Smiltene Valmiera 1 4 9.25 1.20
W 2 Aug JFK Ventspils Smiltene 1 2 1.62 4.40
L 25 Jul Smiltene Rigas FS II 3 5 2.42 2.42
W 19 Jul Smiltene Rezekne 1 0 1.77 3.50
L 4 Jul Marupe Smiltene 2 1 1.33 6.50
L 28 Jun Smiltene Skanste 2 4 2.95 2.05
Riga Mariners WWWWW
W 19 Sept Valmiera Riga Mariners 2 4 1.74 3.65
W 5 Sept Riga Mariners Rezekne 5 0 1.03 55.00
W 29 Aug Riga Mariners Rigas FS II 3 1 1.12 13.00
W 24 Aug Riga FC 2 Riga Mariners 1 3 4.15 1.63
W 9 Aug Riga Mariners Tukums II 4 2 – –
W 31 Jul Super Nova 2 Riga Mariners 0 3 6.20 1.40
D 25 Jul Riga Mariners JFK Ventspils 1 1 1.34 7.10
L 18 Jul Leevon PPK Riga Mariners 2 1 3.80 1.69
D 11 Jul Riga Mariners BFC Daugavpils 3 3 4.10 2.02
W 4 Jul JDFS Alberts Riga Mariners 0 4 2.45 2.55

Past meetings

Smiltene
0·0·3
Riga Mariners
  • May 2026 Riga Mariners 1 - 0 Smiltene
  • Oct 2025 Smiltene 1 - 3 Riga Mariners
  • Jun 2025 Riga Mariners 3 - 1 Smiltene

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leevon PPK 22 +18 50
2 Metta 20 +65 49
3 Valmiera 21 +35 49
4 Riga Mariners 22 +27 48
5 JDFS Alberts 21 +12 38
6 Marupe 22 +2 30
7 Riga FC 2 20 -3 28
8 Skanste 22 +1 27
9 Super Nova 2 21 -5 23
10 Tukums II 22 -33 19
11 Rigas FS II 22 -26 17
12 Smiltene 22 -28 17
13 JFK Ventspils 22 -20 16
14 Rezekne 21 -45 4