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Serbia vs Greece prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 3.20
X 3.50
2 2.45

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Serbia 57%@3.20
Draw 18%@3.50
Greece 25%@2.45
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@4.61
Under 3.5 78%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.87
No 69%@1.94
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.60
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SerbiaModelGreece
1.42xG1.08
47%Ball possession53%
12Shots13
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
SerbiaRealGreece
1.32xG2.49
39%Ball possession61%
9Shots26
4Shots on goal9
2Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made7
SerbiaReal · ModelGreece
1.321.42xG2.491.08
39%47%Ball possession61%53%
912Shots2613
44Shots on goal94
25Corner kicks65
22Yellow cards12
22Offside calls21
1111Fouls made713

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SerbiaPer gameGreece
0.9Goals for / game1.2
2.2Goals against / game1.6
49%Ball possession55%
12.5Shots per game14.4
5.8Corners per game5.6
1.48Expected goals1.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SerbiaRateGreece
40%Wins20%
80%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Serbia LLLLL
L 4 Oct Netherlands Serbia 2 1 1.21 14.50
L 1 Oct Germany Serbia 2 0 1.21 15.50
L 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
L 5 Jun Mexico Serbia 5 1 1.36 10.00
L 31 May Cape Verde Serbia 3 0 3.40 2.28
W 31 Mar Serbia Saudi Arabia 2 1 1.50 8.40
L 27 Mar Spain Serbia 3 0 1.20 18.50
D 26 Mar Qatar Serbia 0 0 – –
W 16 Nov Serbia Latvia 2 1 1.25 21.00
L 13 Nov England Serbia 2 0 1.28 11.00
Greece DDWLD
D 4 Oct Greece Germany 0 0 4.20 1.90
D 1 Oct Greece Netherlands 2 2 3.25 2.25
W 27 Sept Germany Greece 0 1 1.51 7.00
L 7 Jun Greece Italy 0 1 2.80 2.80
D 4 Jun Sweden Greece 2 2 1.95 4.20
D 31 Mar Hungary Greece 0 0 2.77 2.80
L 27 Mar Greece Paraguay 0 1 2.20 3.70
D 18 Nov Belarus Greece 0 0 8.75 1.39
W 15 Nov Greece Scotland 3 2 2.22 3.45
L 12 Oct Denmark Greece 3 1 1.64 5.40

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.