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Sao Paulo vs Coritiba prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo €79.50m
Full time 1 : 1
Coritiba €41.60m
1 1.78
X 3.60
2 5.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
87%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.27 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sao Paulo 70%@1.78
Draw 18%@3.60
Coritiba 12%@5.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 13%@8.50
Under 3.5 87%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@2.00
No 45%@1.78
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 89%@1.34
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sao PauloModelCoritiba
1.16xG0.70
55%Ball possession45%
14Shots10
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made10
Sao PauloRealCoritiba
1.13xG0.26
66%Ball possession34%
19Shots7
6Shots on goal1
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
15Fouls made10
Sao PauloReal · ModelCoritiba
1.131.16xG0.260.70
66%55%Ball possession34%45%
1914Shots710
66Shots on goal14
66Corner kicks33
22Yellow cards11
01Offside calls21
1513Fouls made1010

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sao PauloPer gameCoritiba
1.0Goals for / game1.2
1.4Goals against / game1.8
54%Ball possession43%
12.3Shots per game11.3
5.2Corners per game3.9
1.08Expected goals0.86

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sao PauloRateCoritiba
10%Wins30%
90%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sao Paulo LWDLL
L 3 Oct Sao Paulo Santos 1 2 2.12 3.75
W 20 Sept Sao Paulo Internacional 1 0 2.02 4.55
D 16 Sept Sao Paulo(Bra) Boca Juniors(Arg) 1 1 2.47 3.55
L 12 Sept Palmeiras Sao Paulo 2 0 1.52 7.70
L 9 Sept Boca Juniors(Arg) Sao Paulo(Bra) 1 0 1.95 5.15
W 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 30 Aug Sao Paulo Bragantino 2 1 2.47 3.05
L 23 Aug Chapecoense-sc Sao Paulo 1 0 4.10 2.05
W 19 Aug Sao Paulo(Bra) Bolivar(Bol) 3 1 1.47 8.25
D 12 Aug Bolivar Sao Paulo 1 1 1.83 4.50
Coritiba LDLWW
L 20 Sept Vasco Coritiba 5 0 1.42 9.00
D 12 Sept Coritiba Atletico P 3 3 3.20 2.42
L 6 Sept Coritiba Mirassol 1 2 2.65 2.85
W 1 Sept Remo Coritiba 2 3 2.10 3.80
W 23 Aug Coritiba Corinthians 2 1 3.00 2.76
W 9 Aug Coritiba Chapecoense-sc 2 1 1.70 5.40
L 31 Jul Coritiba Cruzeiro 0 1 3.30 2.32
D 26 Jul Bragantino Coritiba 0 0 1.62 6.10
L 22 Jul Coritiba Palmeiras 1 3 4.20 2.02
L 30 May Flamengo Coritiba 3 0 1.40 7.50

Past meetings

Sao Paulo
1·0·0
Coritiba
  • Feb 2026 Coritiba 0 - 1 Sao Paulo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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