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Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors prediction — CONMEBOL Sudamericana

1 2.47
X 3.15
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.47 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sao Paulo 55%@2.47
Draw 24%@3.15
Boca Juniors 21%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 17%@7.18
Under 2.5 83%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 39%@2.25
No 61%@1.67
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 65%@1.47
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sao PauloModelBoca Juniors
1.35xG1.45
49%Ball possession51%
16Shots15
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made10
Sao PauloRealBoca Juniors
0.93xG0.73
64%Ball possession36%
15Shots7
5Shots on goal1
4Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
8Fouls made16
Sao PauloReal · ModelBoca Juniors
0.931.35xG0.731.45
64%49%Ball possession36%51%
1516Shots715
55Shots on goal14
46Corner kicks15
22Yellow cards12
11Offside calls11
813Fouls made1610

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sao PauloPer gameBoca Juniors
1.1Goals for / game1.7
1.1Goals against / game0.7
51%Ball possession55%
14.1Shots per game17.8
5.9Corners per game5.9
1.15Expected goals1.92

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sao PauloRateBoca Juniors
30%Wins50%
80%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sao Paulo(Bra) LWLLW
L 3 Oct Sao Paulo Santos 1 2 2.12 3.75
W 20 Sept Sao Paulo Internacional 1 0 2.02 4.55
L 12 Sept Palmeiras Sao Paulo 2 0 1.52 7.70
L 9 Sept Boca Juniors(Arg) Sao Paulo(Bra) 1 0 1.95 5.15
W 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 30 Aug Sao Paulo Bragantino 2 1 2.47 3.05
L 23 Aug Chapecoense-sc Sao Paulo 1 0 4.10 2.05
W 19 Aug Sao Paulo(Bra) Bolivar(Bol) 3 1 1.47 8.25
D 16 Aug Sao Paulo Coritiba 1 1 1.78 5.50
D 12 Aug Bolivar Sao Paulo 1 1 1.83 4.50
Boca Juniors(Arg) WWWWW
W 3 Oct Boca Juniors Union S 3 0 1.47 8.00
W 27 Sept Racing Club Boca Juniors 2 3 4.75 1.90
W 20 Sept San Lorenzo Boca Juniors 0 2 4.90 1.95
W 12 Sept Boca Juniors Central C 3 1 1.53 7.50
W 9 Sept Boca Juniors(Arg) Sao Paulo(Bra) 1 0 1.95 5.15
D 5 Sept Gimnasia M. Boca Juniors 2 2 3.25 2.47
D 3 Sept Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors 0 0 4.60 1.89
W 29 Aug Boca Juniors Lanus 1 0 1.86 5.40
D 24 Aug Racing Club Boca Juniors 1 1 3.25 2.55
W 18 Aug Recoleta(Par) Boca Juniors(Arg) 0 4 6.50 1.55

Past meetings

Sao Paulo(Bra)
0·0·1
Boca Juniors(Arg)
  • Sept 2026 Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo