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Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo €82.80m
Full time 2 : 0
Atletico-MG €98.65m
1 2.00
X 3.35
2 4.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.24 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sao Paulo 27%@2.00
Draw 16%@3.35
Atletico-MG 57%@4.15
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.35
Under 3.5 73%@1.24
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@2.00
No 40%@1.78
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.41
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sao PauloModelAtletico-MG
1.26xG1.06
51%Ball possession49%
16Shots12
7Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
Sao PauloRealAtletico-MG
1.77xG0.65
52%Ball possession48%
23Shots4
5Shots on goal0
16Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls0
19Fouls made12
Sao PauloReal · ModelAtletico-MG
1.771.26xG0.651.06
52%51%Ball possession48%49%
2316Shots412
57Shots on goal05
166Corner kicks24
12Yellow cards12
21Offside calls01
1913Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sao PauloPer gameAtletico-MG
1.2Goals for / game1.4
1.1Goals against / game0.7
56%Ball possession53%
14.4Shots per game14.4
5.6Corners per game4.9
1.16Expected goals1.29

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sao PauloRateAtletico-MG
30%Wins50%
80%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sao Paulo LWDLL
L 3 Oct Sao Paulo Santos 1 2 2.12 3.75
W 20 Sept Sao Paulo Internacional 1 0 2.02 4.55
D 16 Sept Sao Paulo(Bra) Boca Juniors(Arg) 1 1 2.47 3.55
L 12 Sept Palmeiras Sao Paulo 2 0 1.52 7.70
L 9 Sept Boca Juniors(Arg) Sao Paulo(Bra) 1 0 1.95 5.15
W 30 Aug Sao Paulo Bragantino 2 1 2.47 3.05
L 23 Aug Chapecoense-sc Sao Paulo 1 0 4.10 2.05
W 19 Aug Sao Paulo(Bra) Bolivar(Bol) 3 1 1.47 8.25
D 16 Aug Sao Paulo Coritiba 1 1 1.78 5.50
D 12 Aug Bolivar Sao Paulo 1 1 1.83 4.50
Atletico-MG WDWWL
W 3 Oct Atletico-MG Bragantino 1 0 2.20 3.60
D 19 Sept Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 1 1 1.40 8.50
W 16 Sept Atletico-MG(Bra) Santos(Bra) 4 2 1.98 4.35
W 12 Sept Atletico-MG Fluminense 3 1 2.04 3.90
L 9 Sept Santos(Bra) Atletico-MG(Bra) 2 0 2.40 3.70
W 2 Sept Atletico-MG Cruzeiro 2 1 2.65 3.05
W 29 Aug Atletico-MG Vitoria 2 1 1.98 4.50
D 26 Aug Cruzeiro Atletico-MG 1 1 1.98 4.30
D 22 Aug Internacional Atletico-MG 0 0 1.87 4.70
D 19 Aug Atletico-MG(Bra) Bragantino(Bra) 2 2 2.57 3.05

Past meetings

Sao Paulo
1·2·2
Atletico-MG
  • Mar 2026 Atletico-MG 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
  • Aug 2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Apr 2025 Atletico-MG 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
  • Nov 2024 Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Atletico-MG
  • Jul 2024 Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Sao Paulo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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