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Santos vs Atletico-MG prediction — CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World
Santos(Bra) €95.60m
Full time 2 : 0
Atletico-MG(Bra) €98.20m
1 2.40
X 3.00
2 3.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.19 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Santos 63%@2.40
Draw 20%@3.00
Atletico-MG 17%@3.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 5%@22.61
Under 3.5 95%@1.19
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 16%@2.07
No 84%@1.73
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 71%@1.46
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SantosModelAtletico-MG
1.15xG0.99
53%Ball possession47%
14Shots11
6Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
SantosRealAtletico-MG
1.18xG0.37
42%Ball possession58%
14Shots9
7Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks2
1Offside calls3
9Fouls made8
SantosReal · ModelAtletico-MG
1.181.15xG0.370.99
42%53%Ball possession58%47%
1414Shots911
76Shots on goal34
65Corner kicks24
12Offside calls31
912Fouls made813

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SantosPer gameAtletico-MG
1.1Goals for / game1.4
0.9Goals against / game0.9
57%Ball possession52%
12.9Shots per game13.1
4.9Corners per game4.4
1.17Expected goals1.24

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SantosRateAtletico-MG
50%Wins50%
60%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Santos(Bra) WWLWW
W 3 Oct Sao Paulo Santos 1 2 2.12 3.75
W 19 Sept Remo Santos 1 2 3.05 2.35
L 16 Sept Atletico-MG(Bra) Santos(Bra) 4 2 1.98 4.35
W 13 Sept Santos Cruzeiro 2 1 2.63 2.72
W 6 Sept Internacional Santos 2 3 2.05 4.20
D 3 Sept Santos Palmeiras 0 0 2.55 2.85
W 30 Aug Corinthians Santos 0 1 1.90 4.85
L 27 Aug Palmeiras Santos 3 0 1.53 7.90
D 23 Aug Santos Mirassol 1 1 1.82 4.90
D 20 Aug Macara(Ecu) Santos(Bra) 0 0 2.20 3.75
Atletico-MG(Bra) WDWWL
W 3 Oct Atletico-MG Bragantino 1 0 2.20 3.60
D 19 Sept Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 1 1 1.40 8.50
W 16 Sept Atletico-MG(Bra) Santos(Bra) 4 2 1.98 4.35
W 12 Sept Atletico-MG Fluminense 3 1 2.04 3.90
L 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 2 Sept Atletico-MG Cruzeiro 2 1 2.65 3.05
W 29 Aug Atletico-MG Vitoria 2 1 1.98 4.50
D 26 Aug Cruzeiro Atletico-MG 1 1 1.98 4.30
D 22 Aug Internacional Atletico-MG 0 0 1.87 4.70
D 19 Aug Atletico-MG(Bra) Bragantino(Bra) 2 2 2.57 3.05

Past meetings

Santos(Bra)
2·1·1
Atletico-MG(Bra)
  • Sept 2026 Atletico-MG 4 - 2 Santos
  • Apr 2026 Santos 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Sept 2025 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Santos
  • Apr 2025 Santos 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
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